Xelajú
vs
Mixco
4 – 1 Full time
| 25′ | R. Marquez | ||
| 38′ | L. Garcia | ||
| 45′ | Cuero Fabian | ||
| 45′ | D. MarroquinN. Flores | ||
| 45′ | J. SeguraJerry | ||
| 48′ | Y. Diaz | ||
| 51′ | J. UrizarG. Arce | ||
| 51′ | C. JimenezJ. Bolanos | ||
| 57′ | L. GarciaK. Lemus | ||
| 68′ | Y. Jaen | ||
| 70′ | Y. JaenA. Lopez | ||
| 73′ | J. Aparicio | ||
| 74′ | Y. DiazJ. Gonzalez | ||
| 74′ | R. CalderonO. Mejia | ||
| 80′ | O. Mejia | ||
| 82′ | D. CasasS. Cardenas | ||
| 82′ | J. AparicioE. Cardoza | ||
| 83′ | E. Monreal | ||
| 90′ | J. Cruz |
Xelajú vs Mixco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Xelajú vs Mixco
| Probability | Xelajú | Draw | Mixco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.3% | 19.7% | 16.0% |
| Market | 59.6% | 23.5% | 16.9% |
| Final | 60.8% | 22.5% | 16.7% |
| Edge | +4.7% | -3.7% | -1.0% |
Why Xelajú
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.41 vs 1.16.
- The market prices Xelajú below the model: +4.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Xelajú and Mixco expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.58
Xelajú and Mixco attack and defence ratings
Xelajú
Mixco
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Xelajú vs Mixco: result vs prediction
Xelajú 4 – 1 Mixco
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Xelajú vs Mixco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Xelajú | 60.8% | 1.65 | +4.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Xelajú win | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Xelajú | 60.8% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Mixco | 16.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% |
| No | 36.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Xelajú win | 43.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 35.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.5% |
| 1-1 | 8.6% | |
| 2-0 | 8.1% |
Xelajú vs Mixco stats
Xelajú and Mixco recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Xelajú and Mixco going into this match
Xelajú record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Mixco record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Xelajú vs Mixco head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Mixco | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-23 | Xelajú | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Xelajú | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-09 | Mixco | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-10 | Xelajú | Mixco | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-05 | Mixco | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-12-02 | Xelajú | Mixco | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-28 | Mixco | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Xelajú | Mixco | Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2024-09-11 | Mixco | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Xelajú vs Mixco odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.6%, draw 23.5%, away 16.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.53 | 3.95 | 5.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 3.82 | 5.77 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.90 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 3.80 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.55 | 3.95 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 3.82 | 5.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51 | 3.99 | 5.54 |
| Superbet | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.20 |
| Unibet | 1.50 | 3.65 | 5.30 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 3.60 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .