Mixco
vs
Guastatoya
4 – 2 Full time
Mixco vs Guastatoya overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mixco vs Guastatoya
| Probability | Mixco | Draw | Guastatoya |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.8% | 31.5% | 32.7% |
| Market | 45.8% | 31.4% | 22.8% |
| Final | 43.3% | 31.5% | 25.3% |
| Edge | -10.0% | +0.1% | +9.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mixco and Guastatoya expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Mixco and Guastatoya attack and defence ratings
Mixco
Guastatoya
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mixco vs Guastatoya: result vs prediction
Mixco 4 – 2 Guastatoya
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mixco vs Guastatoya markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mixco | 43.3% | 2.31 | -10.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mixco | 43.3% |
| Draw | 31.5% | |
| Guastatoya | 25.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.5% |
| No | 53.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mixco win | 15.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 64.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.1% | |
| 1-0 | 11.0% |
Mixco vs Guastatoya stats
Mixco and Guastatoya recent form
| Mixco |
LWWLLL |
| Guastatoya |
WLWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mixco and Guastatoya going into this match
Mixco record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Guastatoya record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mixco vs Guastatoya head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Mixco | Guastatoya | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Guastatoya | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Guastatoya | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Mixco | Guastatoya | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mixco vs Guastatoya odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.8%, draw 31.4%, away 22.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.10 | 2.88 | 3.70 |
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 2.71 | 4.36 |
| 888Sport | 2.00 | 2.90 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 2.90 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 2.77 | 4.45 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 2.90 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.03 | 2.90 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.97 | 2.71 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 2.63 | 4.72 |
| Superbet | 2.02 | 2.90 | 4.00 |
| Unibet | 1.93 | 2.90 | 3.80 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 2.90 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .