Malacateco
vs
Deportivo San Pedro
2 – 0 Full time
Malacateco vs Deportivo San Pedro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Malacateco vs Deportivo San Pedro
| Probability | Malacateco | Draw | Deportivo San Pedro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.6% | 31.5% | 38.0% |
| Market | 70.7% | 19.2% | 10.1% |
| Final | 60.6% | 22.3% | 17.1% |
| Edge | -40.1% | +12.3% | +27.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Malacateco and Deportivo San Pedro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Malacateco and Deportivo San Pedro attack and defence ratings
Malacateco
Deportivo San Pedro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Malacateco vs Deportivo San Pedro: result vs prediction
Malacateco 2 – 0 Deportivo San Pedro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Malacateco vs Deportivo San Pedro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malacateco | 60.6% | 1.65 | -40.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malacateco | 60.6% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 17.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Malacateco win | 12.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 69.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.1% | |
| 0-1 | 11.5% |
Malacateco vs Deportivo San Pedro stats
Malacateco and Deportivo San Pedro recent form
| Malacateco |
LDLDWL |
| Deportivo San Pedro |
WWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Malacateco and Deportivo San Pedro going into this match
Malacateco record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo San Pedro record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Malacateco vs Deportivo San Pedro head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Malacateco vs Deportivo San Pedro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 70.2%, draw 19.1%, away 10.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 4.75 | 10.30 |
| 888Sport | 1.36 | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 4.80 | 10.00 |
| Betano | 1.33 | 4.65 | 8.25 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 4.75 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.29 | 4.90 | 9.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 4.75 | 9.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27 | 4.70 | 8.27 |
| Superbet | 1.29 | 4.90 | 8.40 |
| Unibet | 1.22 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.00 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .