Guatemala Liga Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Deportivo San Pedro
vs
Antigua GFC
4 – 3 Full time
| 4′ | Y. Matos | ||
| 10′ | S. Colon | ||
| 21′ | A. Maziero | ||
| 31′ | Y. MatosY. A. Moran | ||
| 33′ | A. Garcia | ||
| 45′ | E. Macal | ||
| 45′ | E. Garcia | ||
| 46′ | J. ChaconB. de Leon | ||
| 46′ | I. MoraJ. Espinoza | ||
| 46′ | J. ColindresD. Fernandez | ||
| 46′ | D. PalenciaJ. Galvez | ||
| 48′ | E. Garcia | ||
| 59′ | D. Fernandez | ||
| 66′ | J. Moreno | ||
| 70′ | G. AguilaL. Martinez | ||
| 70′ | A. GarciaJ. Rosales | ||
| 71′ | A. MazieroJ. Franco | ||
| 72′ | J. Ardon | ||
| 73′ | E. GarciaM. Ceballos | ||
| 79′ | J. Ardon | ||
| 80′ | Antigua GFC | ||
| 84′ | R. Gomez |
Deportivo San Pedro
36%
Draw
32%
Antigua GFC
32%
Deportivo San Pedro vs Antigua GFC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo San Pedro vs Antigua GFC
| Probability | Deportivo San Pedro | Draw | Antigua GFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.5% | 30.4% | 28.1% |
| Market | 33.7% | 32.6% | 33.7% |
| Final | 35.7% | 32.0% | 32.3% |
| Edge | +7.8% | -2.2% | -5.6% |
Why Deportivo San Pedro
- The market prices Deportivo San Pedro below the model: +7.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
69%
3+ goals
41%
No goals
11%
Deportivo San Pedro and Antigua GFC expected goals
Deportivo San Pedro
1.30
Antigua GFC
1.03
Total expected goals: 2.33
Deportivo San Pedro and Antigua GFC attack and defence ratings
Deportivo San Pedro
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Antigua GFC
Attack
1.46 +46%
Defence
0.81 -19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo San Pedro vs Antigua GFC: result vs prediction
Deportivo San Pedro 4 – 3 Antigua GFC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo San Pedro vs Antigua GFC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo San Pedro | 35.7% | 2.80 | +7.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo San Pedro | 35.7% |
| Draw | 32.0% | |
| Antigua GFC | 32.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.2% |
| No | 51.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo San Pedro win | 19.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 58.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.0% |
Deportivo San Pedro vs Antigua GFC stats
Deportivo San Pedro and Antigua GFC recent form
| Deportivo San Pedro |
LWWLW |
| Antigua GFC |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Deportivo San Pedro and Antigua GFC going into this match
Deportivo San Pedro record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Antigua GFC record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo San Pedro vs Antigua GFC head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Deportivo San Pedro vs Antigua GFC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.7%, draw 32.6%, away 33.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.75 | 2.90 | 2.55 |
| 1xBet | 2.68 | 2.68 | 2.73 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.00 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 2.75 | 2.80 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 2.90 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.68 | 2.68 | 2.73 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76 | 2.67 | 2.82 |
| Superbet | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.80 |
| Unibet | 2.65 | 3.10 | 2.35 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.75 | 2.62 |