Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 5

Antigua GFC vs Comunicaciones

2 – 0 Full time

Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala

Antigua GFC 60%
Draw 24%
Comunicaciones 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Antigua GFC vs Comunicaciones overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Antigua GFC vs Comunicaciones

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAntigua GFCDrawComunicaciones
Model73.3%17.7%9.0%
Market55.8%26.2%18.1%
Final60.2%24.1%15.8%
Edge+17.6%-8.5%-9.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Antigua GFC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 0.75.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Antigua GFC below the model: +17.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Antigua GFC ↓ / Comunicaciones → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 8% 2 12% 9% 3 10% 7% 4+ 10% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Antigua GFC and Comunicaciones expected goals

Antigua GFC 2.40
Comunicaciones 0.75

Total expected goals: 3.15

Antigua GFC and Comunicaciones attack and defence ratings

Antigua GFC

Attack 1.45 +45%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Comunicaciones

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Antigua GFC vs Comunicaciones: result vs prediction

Antigua GFC 2 – 0 Comunicaciones

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Antigua GFC vs Comunicaciones markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Antigua GFC 60.2% 1.66 +17.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.2% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score No 51.2% 1.95 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.2% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Antigua GFC win 51.3% 1.95 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Antigua GFC60.2%
Draw24.1%
Comunicaciones15.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.2%
Under 2.538.8%
Both teams to scoreYes48.8%
No51.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.2%
12 (either side)75.9%
X2 (draw or away)39.8%
Handicap -1Antigua GFC win51.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss26.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.3%
3-09.9%
1-09.4%

Antigua GFC vs Comunicaciones stats

Antigua GFC and Comunicaciones recent form

newest first
Antigua GFC WWWLWD
Comunicaciones WLWDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Antigua GFC and Comunicaciones going into this match

league record before kick-off

Antigua GFC record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Comunicaciones record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Antigua GFC vs Comunicaciones head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

4Antigua GFC wins 0Draws 2Comunicaciones wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03ComunicacionesAntigua GFCGuatemala Liga Nacional2-0
2026-04-30Antigua GFCComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional3-2
2026-03-20ComunicacionesAntigua GFCGuatemala Liga Nacional0-1
2026-01-29Antigua GFCComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional0-1
2025-11-17Antigua GFCComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional3-1
2025-09-13ComunicacionesAntigua GFCGuatemala Liga Nacional0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Antigua GFC vs Comunicaciones odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.8%, draw 26.2%, away 18.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.62 3.38 5.30
Bet365 1.62 3.40 5.00
BetVictor 1.62 3.50 5.25
Betano 1.70 3.40 4.90
Betfair 1.55 3.60 5.00
Dafabet 1.64 3.55 5.20
Pinnacle 1.65 3.38 5.31
Superbet 1.64 3.55 5.00
Unibet 1.57 3.50 4.90
William Hill 1.62 3.30 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 —
X 3.45 ▼ -0.10
2 5.00 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .