Marquense
vs
Cobán Imperial
2 – 1 Full time
Marquense vs Cobán Imperial overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Marquense vs Cobán Imperial
| Probability | Marquense | Draw | Cobán Imperial |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.8% | 27.4% | 17.8% |
| Market | 44.4% | 28.8% | 26.8% |
| Final | 47.0% | 28.4% | 24.5% |
| Edge | +10.4% | -1.4% | -9.0% |
Why Marquense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.81.
- The market prices Marquense below the model: +10.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Marquense and Cobán Imperial expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
Marquense and Cobán Imperial attack and defence ratings
Marquense
Cobán Imperial
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Marquense vs Cobán Imperial: result vs prediction
Marquense 2 – 1 Cobán Imperial
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Marquense vs Cobán Imperial markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marquense | 47.0% | 2.13 | +10.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marquense | 47.0% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Cobán Imperial | 24.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.3% |
| No | 54.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Marquense win | 29.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 45.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.3% |
| 1-1 | 12.8% | |
| 2-0 | 11.5% |
Marquense vs Cobán Imperial stats
Marquense and Cobán Imperial recent form
| Marquense |
WLLLLD |
| Cobán Imperial |
LWLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Marquense and Cobán Imperial going into this match
Marquense record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Cobán Imperial record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Marquense vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Marquense | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2026-01-27 | Cobán Imperial | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Cobán Imperial | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-11 | Marquense | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Marquense vs Cobán Imperial odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.4%, draw 28.8%, away 26.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 3.18 | 3.49 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.20 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 1.98 | 3.18 | 3.42 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01 | 3.23 | 3.52 |
| Superbet | 2.10 | 3.15 | 3.40 |
| Unibet | 2.17 | 2.90 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .