Garuda Lions
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Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 6

Suchitepéquez vs Cobán Imperial

3 – 2 Full time

Suchitepéquez 46%
Draw 29%
Cobán Imperial 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Suchitepéquez vs Cobán Imperial overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Suchitepéquez vs Cobán Imperial

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySuchitepéquezDrawCobán Imperial
Model49.4%28.7%22.0%
Market45.3%28.8%25.9%
Final46.3%28.7%24.9%
Edge+4.1%-0.1%-3.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Suchitepéquez

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.92.
  • The market prices Suchitepéquez below the model: +4.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Suchitepéquez ↓ / Cobán Imperial → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 7% 1 12% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Suchitepéquez and Cobán Imperial expected goals

Suchitepéquez 1.49
Cobán Imperial 0.92

Total expected goals: 2.41

Suchitepéquez and Cobán Imperial attack and defence ratings

Suchitepéquez

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Cobán Imperial

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Suchitepéquez vs Cobán Imperial: result vs prediction

Suchitepéquez 3 – 2 Cobán Imperial

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Suchitepéquez vs Cobán Imperial markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Suchitepéquez 46.3% 2.16 +4.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.7% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score No 52.3% 1.91 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.6% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Suchitepéquez46.3%
Draw28.7%
Cobán Imperial24.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.3%
Under 2.556.7%
Both teams to scoreYes47.7%
No52.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.1%
12 (either side)71.3%
X2 (draw or away)53.7%
Handicap -1Suchitepéquez win25.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.7%
Loss50.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
1-012.2%
0-010.2%

Suchitepéquez vs Cobán Imperial stats

Suchitepéquez and Cobán Imperial recent form

newest first
Suchitepéquez LLLLD
Cobán Imperial LLWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Suchitepéquez and Cobán Imperial going into this match

league record before kick-off

Suchitepéquez record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Cobán Imperial record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Suchitepéquez vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Suchitepéquez wins 1Draws 6Cobán Imperial wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2018-04-29SuchitepéquezCobán ImperialLiga Nacional1-0
2018-03-04Cobán ImperialSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional4-2
2017-10-22Cobán ImperialSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional2-1
2017-08-20SuchitepéquezCobán ImperialLiga Nacional2-2
2017-04-23SuchitepéquezCobán ImperialLiga Nacional2-1
2017-02-19Cobán ImperialSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional3-0
2016-10-23Cobán ImperialSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional5-0
2016-07-31SuchitepéquezCobán ImperialLiga Nacional1-2
2016-03-20SuchitepéquezCobán ImperialLiga Nacional3-0
2016-01-28Cobán ImperialSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Suchitepéquez vs Cobán Imperial odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.3%, draw 28.8%, away 25.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.95 3.20 3.55
1xBet 1.98 3.20 3.52
Bet365 2.00 3.10 3.40
Betano 2.05 3.15 3.50
Betfair 2.00 3.30 3.50
Dafabet 2.06 3.15 3.55
Marathonbet 1.96 3.20 3.44
Pinnacle 2.01 3.16 3.59
Superbet 2.07 3.10 3.50
Unibet 2.23 2.88 3.05
William Hill 2.00 3.00 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▼ -0.13
X 3.15 ▲ +0.07
2 3.50 ▲ +0.12

2 snapshots recorded, from .