Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 7

Malacateco vs Suchitepéquez

2 – 0 Full time

28′W. Diaz
35′C. Madrid
41′R. Meneses
43′D. Padilla Toro
58′E. Quinones
59′D. Padilla ToroF. Gonzalez
60′V. PazD. Sanchez
61′F. MoralesK. Ramirez
68′E. de LeonC. Artola
74′R. MenesesJ. Trigueno
74′J. MatulA. Galindo
81′J. OchoaI. de Leon
81′E. QuinonesF. Quinteros
87′J. Trigueno
90′N. Andrade
90′A. Zamorano
90′N. Andrade
Malacateco 59%
Draw 25%
Suchitepéquez 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Malacateco vs Suchitepéquez overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Malacateco vs Suchitepéquez

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMalacatecoDrawSuchitepéquez
Model60.6%23.5%15.9%
Market59.1%26.0%14.9%
Final59.5%25.4%15.2%
Edge+1.6%-2.5%+0.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Malacateco

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.91.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Malacateco ↓ / Suchitepéquez → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 10% 11% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Malacateco and Suchitepéquez expected goals

Malacateco 1.94
Suchitepéquez 0.91

Total expected goals: 2.85

Malacateco and Suchitepéquez attack and defence ratings

Malacateco

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Suchitepéquez

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Malacateco vs Suchitepéquez: result vs prediction

Malacateco 2 – 0 Suchitepéquez

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Malacateco vs Suchitepéquez markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Malacateco 59.5% 1.68 +1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.2% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.0% 1.92 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.8% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.4% 2.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Malacateco59.5%
Draw25.4%
Suchitepéquez15.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.2%
Under 2.545.8%
Both teams to scoreYes52.0%
No48.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.8%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)40.5%
Handicap -1Malacateco win37.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss39.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
2-010.9%
1-010.2%

Malacateco vs Suchitepéquez stats

Malacateco and Suchitepéquez recent form

newest first
Malacateco LWLDLD
Suchitepéquez WLLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Malacateco and Suchitepéquez going into this match

league record before kick-off

Malacateco record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Suchitepéquez record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Malacateco vs Suchitepéquez head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Malacateco wins 2Draws 5Suchitepéquez wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2018-04-04SuchitepéquezMalacatecoLiga Nacional3-1
2018-02-04MalacatecoSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional1-0
2017-10-01SuchitepéquezMalacatecoLiga Nacional3-1
2017-07-30MalacatecoSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional3-0
2017-03-19SuchitepéquezMalacatecoLiga Nacional2-1
2017-01-22MalacatecoSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional1-0
2016-11-27SuchitepéquezMalacatecoLiga Nacional1-1
2016-09-21MalacatecoSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional2-2
2016-05-22SuchitepéquezMalacatecoLiga Nacional2-0
2016-05-18MalacatecoSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Malacateco vs Suchitepéquez odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.1%, draw 25.4%, away 15.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.62 3.60 4.80
1xBet 1.53 3.38 6.57
Bet365 1.50 3.60 6.00
BetVictor 1.53 3.60 6.00
Betano 1.62 3.60 5.10
Betfair 1.55 3.80 5.50
Dafabet 1.60 3.70 5.40
Marathonbet 1.51 3.38 6.45
Pinnacle 1.57 3.45 6.10
Superbet 1.59 3.70 5.15
Unibet 1.43 3.85 6.10
William Hill 1.55 3.50 5.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.53 ▼ -0.09
X 3.48 ▼ -0.02
2 6.05 ▲ +1.23

4 snapshots recorded, from .