Guatemala Liga Nacional · 2026-09-11T00:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 8

Malacateco vs Antigua GFC

0 – 2 Full time

5′			A. Maziero
23′			A. Morales
28′			A. Robinson
28′			A. Soto
35′			M. S. Zamora Contreras
46′			A. MoralesF. Morales
46′			V. PazD. Sanchez
56′			M. S. Zamora ContrerasJ. Galvez
61′			K. Ramirez
63′			J. EspinozaA. Garcia
63′			W. FajardoK. J. Lopez
72′			K. J. Lopez
73′			A. MazieroJ. Franco
73′			O. CastellanosE. Camargo
78′			A. SotoH. Cummings
89′			J. OchoaM. R. Giron Escobar
89′			N. AndradeR. Garcia

Malacateco

41%

Draw

29%

Antigua GFC

30%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Malacateco vs Antigua GFC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Malacateco vs Antigua GFC

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Malacateco	Draw	Antigua GFC
Model	43.6%	26.4%	30.0%
Market	39.6%	30.0%	30.4%
Final	40.6%	29.1%	30.3%
Edge	+3.9%	-3.5%	-0.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Malacateco

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.33.
The market prices Malacateco below the model: +3.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

81%

3+ goals

57%

No goals

Malacateco and Antigua GFC expected goals

Malacateco

1.63

Antigua GFC

1.33

Total expected goals: 2.96

Malacateco and Antigua GFC attack and defence ratings

Malacateco

Attack

0.95 -5%

Defence

1.02 +2%

Antigua GFC

Attack

1.56 +56%

Defence

1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Malacateco vs Antigua GFC: result vs prediction

Malacateco 0 – 2 Antigua GFC

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Deportivo San Pedro vs Mixco — team news & stats · 2026-09-09
Comunicaciones v Marquense — match page · 2026-09-10
Suchitepéquez vs Guastatoya · 2026-09-10
Aurora v Municipal — match page · 2026-09-10
Xelajú vs Cobán Imperial · 2026-09-11

Before and after this match

Malacateco, previous: Malacateco – Suchitepéquez, 2026-09-06
Malacateco, next: Municipal v Malacateco analysis
Antigua GFC, previous: Antigua GFC vs Aurora: odds and pick
Antigua GFC, next: Antigua GFC vs Suchitepéquez: odds and pick

Malacateco vs Antigua GFC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Malacateco	40.6%	2.46	+3.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.7%	1.76	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	60.2%	1.66	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	70.9%	1.41	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	56.6%	1.77	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Malacateco	40.6%
	Draw	29.1%
	Antigua GFC	30.3%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	56.7%
	Under 2.5	43.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	60.2%
	No	39.8%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	69.7%
	12 (either side)	70.9%
	X2 (draw or away)	59.4%
Handicap -1	Malacateco win	22.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.5%
	Loss	56.6%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	12.4%
	2-1	9.2%
	1-2	7.4%

Malacateco vs Antigua GFC stats

Malacateco and Antigua GFC recent form

newest first

Malacateco	WLWLDL
Antigua GFC	WLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Malacateco and Antigua GFC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Malacateco record

They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Antigua GFC record

They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Malacateco vs Antigua GFC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Malacateco wins 3Draws 5Antigua GFC wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-20	Antigua GFC	Malacateco	Guatemala Liga Nacional	2-1
2026-03-01	Malacateco	Antigua GFC	Guatemala Liga Nacional	2-2
2025-11-30	Antigua GFC	Malacateco	Guatemala Liga Nacional	2-0
2025-09-21	Malacateco	Antigua GFC	Guatemala Liga Nacional	3-1
2025-04-10	Malacateco	Antigua GFC	Liga Nacional	1-1
2025-02-06	Antigua GFC	Malacateco	Liga Nacional	2-3
2024-09-15	Antigua GFC	Malacateco	Liga Nacional	3-1
2024-03-23	Malacateco	Antigua GFC	Liga Nacional	2-2
2023-11-02	Antigua GFC	Malacateco	Liga Nacional	4-2
2023-04-26	Malacateco	Antigua GFC	Liga Nacional	1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Malacateco vs Antigua GFC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.7%, draw 29.9%, away 30.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.33	3.20	2.85
1xBet	2.26	3.08	3.00
888Sport	2.30	2.90	3.00
Bet365	2.30	3.00	3.00
BetVictor	2.30	3.10	3.00
Betano	2.37	3.00	3.00
Betfair	2.30	3.10	2.88
Dafabet	2.40	3.05	3.00
Marathonbet	2.24	3.08	2.93
Pinnacle	2.35	2.92	3.10
Superbet	2.40	3.00	2.95
Unibet	2.43	3.10	2.55
William Hill	2.30	2.90	3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▼ -0.08

X 3.04 ▼ -0.06

2 3.00 ▲ +0.08

4 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-09T08:10:01Z.