Guatemala Liga Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Comunicaciones
vs
Marquense
0 – 2 Full time
| 6′ | O. Duarte | ||
| 15′ | D. Santis | ||
| 21′ | F. Escalante | ||
| 45′ | A. LedesmaG. Gordillo | ||
| 46′ | N. GarciaA. Vuletich | ||
| 46′ | D. SantisS. Camacho | ||
| 46′ | E. VelasquezE. Vasquez | ||
| 51′ | D. Bradley | ||
| 55′ | A. Vuletich | ||
| 55′ | C. Santos | ||
| 59′ | J. MoncadaB. Castaneda | ||
| 69′ | C. SantosL. B. de | ||
| 69′ | A. MattaE. Sanchez | ||
| 69′ | F. EscalanteL. Garcia | ||
| 70′ | K. Espino | ||
| 72′ | D. Grande | ||
| 76′ | D. BradleyE. Raymundo | ||
| 76′ | D. ReyesA. Ortiz |
Comunicaciones
59%
Draw
25%
Marquense
16%
Comunicaciones vs Marquense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Comunicaciones vs Marquense
| Probability | Comunicaciones | Draw | Marquense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.1% | 23.4% | 13.5% |
| Market | 57.9% | 25.3% | 16.8% |
| Final | 59.2% | 24.8% | 16.0% |
| Edge | +5.2% | -1.9% | -3.3% |
Why Comunicaciones
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.78.
- The market prices Comunicaciones below the model: +5.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Comunicaciones and Marquense expected goals
Comunicaciones
1.91
Marquense
0.78
Total expected goals: 2.69
Comunicaciones and Marquense attack and defence ratings
Comunicaciones
Attack
0.86 -14%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Marquense
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.35 +35%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Comunicaciones vs Marquense: result vs prediction
Comunicaciones 0 – 2 Marquense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Comunicaciones vs Marquense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Comunicaciones | 59.2% | 1.69 | +5.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Comunicaciones win | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Comunicaciones | 59.2% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Marquense | 16.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.0% |
| No | 53.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Comunicaciones win | 38.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 36.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.4% |
| 1-0 | 12.0% | |
| 1-1 | 11.1% |
Comunicaciones vs Marquense stats
Comunicaciones and Marquense recent form
| Comunicaciones |
DLLWLW |
| Marquense |
LWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Comunicaciones and Marquense going into this match
Comunicaciones record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Marquense record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Comunicaciones vs Marquense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Comunicaciones wins
1Draws
4Marquense wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Marquense | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Comunicaciones | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Marquense | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Comunicaciones | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-05 | Comunicaciones | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-01 | Marquense | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-03 | Marquense | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-30 | Comunicaciones | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-22 | Marquense | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2018-03-28 | Comunicaciones | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Comunicaciones vs Marquense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.9%, draw 25.3%, away 16.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.57 | 3.55 | 5.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 3.65 | 5.48 |
| 888Sport | 1.62 | 3.30 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.40 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 3.60 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.50 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 3.75 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.61 | 3.65 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 3.65 | 5.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 3.57 | 5.43 |
| Superbet | 1.61 | 3.65 | 5.10 |
| Unibet | 1.43 | 3.75 | 6.25 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.30 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.57 ▼ -0.01
X
3.60 ▼ -0.06
2
5.40 ▲ +0.15
3 snapshots recorded, from .