Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 8

Deportivo San Pedro vs Mixco

2 – 0 Full time

15′S. Colon
25′R. Folleco
27′Mixco
55′G. Aguila
57′J. MarquezJerry
57′C. JimenezCuero Fabian
57′J. RuizJ. Bolanos
57′G. ArceE. Garcia
57′L. GarciaY. Pozuelos
58′Y. MatosY. A. Moran
63′J. Sotomayor
64′Mixco
81′Deportivo San Pedro
89′Mixco
89′Deportivo San Pedro
Deportivo San Pedro 55%
Draw 25%
Mixco 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Deportivo San Pedro vs Mixco overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo San Pedro vs Mixco

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo San PedroDrawMixco
Model72.7%17.3%10.0%
Market48.6%27.2%24.2%
Final54.6%24.8%20.6%
Edge+24.1%-10.0%-14.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo San Pedro

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.54 vs 0.87.
  • The market prices Deportivo San Pedro below the model: +24.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo San ↓ / Mixco → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 8% 2 11% 9% 3 9% 8% 4+ 10% 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Deportivo San Pedro and Mixco expected goals

Deportivo San Pedro 2.54
Mixco 0.87

Total expected goals: 3.41

Deportivo San Pedro and Mixco attack and defence ratings

Deportivo San Pedro

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Mixco

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.41 +41%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo San Pedro vs Mixco: result vs prediction

Deportivo San Pedro 2 – 0 Mixco

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Deportivo San Pedro vs Mixco markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo San Pedro 54.6% 1.83 +24.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.3% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.4% 1.84 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.4% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Deportivo San Pedro win 51.6% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo San Pedro54.6%
Draw24.8%
Mixco20.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.3%
Under 2.533.7%
Both teams to scoreYes54.4%
No45.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.4%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)45.4%
Handicap -1Deportivo San Pedro win51.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss27.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.6%
2-19.3%
3-09.0%

Deportivo San Pedro vs Mixco stats

Deportivo San Pedro and Mixco recent form

newest first
Deportivo San Pedro DWLWWL
Mixco DLWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo San Pedro and Mixco going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo San Pedro record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Mixco record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Deportivo San Pedro vs Mixco head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Deportivo San Pedro vs Mixco odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.6%, draw 27.2%, away 24.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.85 3.45 3.60
1xBet 1.91 3.22 3.74
888Sport 1.85 3.30 3.60
Bet365 1.91 3.30 3.30
BetVictor 1.87 3.40 3.70
Betano 1.85 3.25 4.10
Betfair 1.85 3.50 3.60
Dafabet 1.86 3.30 4.20
Marathonbet 1.88 3.20 3.72
Pinnacle 1.88 3.14 4.16
Superbet 1.85 3.30 4.10
Unibet 1.70 3.55 3.90
William Hill 1.85 3.30 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▲ +0.18
X 3.30 ▼ -0.20
2 3.72 ▼ -0.86

2 snapshots recorded, from .