Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 7

Municipal vs Deportivo San Pedro

0 – 0 Full time

1′R. Folleco
31′J. Martinez
36′J. Franco
45′G. Aguila
46′J. FrancoP. Altan
46′E. ElingtonC. Archila
46′E. GarciaE. Fuentes
58′S. ColonY. A. Moran
67′E. LopezJ. Mendez
77′R. SaraviaJ. Bantes
77′Y. MatosL. Martinez
82′E. MacalO. Salguero
87′J. Martinez
90′C. HernandezR. Barrientos

Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City

Municipal 76%
Draw 17%
Deportivo San Pedro 7%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Municipal vs Deportivo San Pedro overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Municipal vs Deportivo San Pedro

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMunicipalDrawDeportivo San Pedro
Model80.5%14.8%4.7%
Market75.1%17.3%7.6%
Final76.5%16.7%6.9%
Edge+5.4%-2.5%-2.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Municipal

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.46 vs 0.48.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Municipal below the model: +5.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Municipal ↓ / Deportivo San → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 12% 2 16% 3 13% 4+ 15%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Municipal and Deportivo San Pedro expected goals

Municipal 2.46
Deportivo San Pedro 0.48

Total expected goals: 2.93

Municipal and Deportivo San Pedro attack and defence ratings

Municipal

Attack 1.44 +44%
Defence 0.46 -54%

Deportivo San Pedro

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Municipal vs Deportivo San Pedro: result vs prediction

Municipal 0 – 0 Deportivo San Pedro

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Municipal vs Deportivo San Pedro markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Municipal 76.5% 1.31 +5.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.2% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score No 64.8% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 93.1% 1.07 — —
Handicap -1 Municipal win 58.7% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Municipal76.5%
Draw16.7%
Deportivo San Pedro6.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.2%
Under 2.543.8%
Both teams to scoreYes35.2%
No64.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)93.1%
12 (either side)83.3%
X2 (draw or away)23.5%
Handicap -1Municipal win58.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss19.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-016.1%
3-013.2%
1-012.5%

Municipal vs Deportivo San Pedro stats

Municipal and Deportivo San Pedro recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Municipal and Deportivo San Pedro going into this match

league record before kick-off

Municipal record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Deportivo San Pedro record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Municipal vs Deportivo San Pedro head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Municipal vs Deportivo San Pedro odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 75.4%, draw 17.1%, away 7.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.20 5.25 12.60
Bet365 1.22 5.25 10.00
BetVictor 1.20 5.50 12.00
Betano 1.23 5.30 11.50
Betfair 1.15 6.00 12.00
Dafabet 1.20 5.40 12.00
Marathonbet 1.19 5.25 12.00
Pinnacle 1.22 5.38 11.05
Superbet 1.20 5.70 11.00
Unibet 1.23 4.90 9.50
William Hill 1.22 5.00 12.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.21 ▼ -0.01
X 5.25 —
2 12.00 ▲ +1.00

6 snapshots recorded, from .