Antigua GFC
vs
Aurora
2 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | A. Maziero | ||
| 35′ | J. ArdonJ. Carbonell | ||
| 37′ | C. Flores | ||
| 46′ | A. J. Echeverria PerezE. Ibarguen | ||
| 49′ | J. Galvez | ||
| 51′ | C. FloresJ. Lemus | ||
| 59′ | J. GalvezE. Camargo | ||
| 60′ | J. EspinozaK. J. Lopez | ||
| 66′ | A. MazieroJ. Colindres | ||
| 66′ | K. J. Lopez | ||
| 68′ | O. CastellanosI. Mora | ||
| 70′ | C. Monterroso | ||
| 81′ | W. Fajardo | ||
| 90′ | K. GarciaR. Hernandez | ||
| 90′ | P. MingoranceH. Morales |
Antigua GFC vs Aurora overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Antigua GFC vs Aurora
| Probability | Antigua GFC | Draw | Aurora |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 78.8% | 14.2% | 7.0% |
| Market | 65.2% | 22.3% | 12.5% |
| Final | 68.6% | 20.2% | 11.1% |
| Edge | +13.6% | -8.1% | -5.6% |
Why Antigua GFC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.81 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Antigua GFC below the model: +13.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Antigua GFC and Aurora expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.59
Antigua GFC and Aurora attack and defence ratings
Antigua GFC
Aurora
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Antigua GFC vs Aurora: result vs prediction
Antigua GFC 2 – 1 Aurora
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Antigua GFC vs Aurora markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antigua GFC | 68.6% | 1.46 | +13.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Antigua GFC win | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antigua GFC | 68.6% |
| Draw | 20.2% | |
| Aurora | 11.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% |
| No | 48.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Antigua GFC win | 59.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 21.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.9% |
| 3-0 | 10.3% | |
| 2-1 | 8.5% |
Antigua GFC vs Aurora stats
Antigua GFC and Aurora recent form
| Antigua GFC |
LWWWWL |
| Aurora |
WWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Antigua GFC and Aurora going into this match
Antigua GFC record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aurora record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Antigua GFC vs Aurora head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Aurora | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-19 | Antigua GFC | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Antigua GFC | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 4-2 |
| 2025-12-14 | Aurora | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Antigua GFC | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Aurora | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2013-03-09 | Aurora | Antigua GFC | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2013-01-13 | Antigua GFC | Aurora | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2012-11-18 | Aurora | Antigua GFC | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2012-09-23 | Antigua GFC | Aurora | Primera Division | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Antigua GFC vs Aurora odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.2%, draw 22.3%, away 12.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 4.05 | 8.05 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.20 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.45 | 3.95 | 6.80 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.43 | 4.10 | 7.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40 | 4.13 | 7.35 |
| Superbet | 1.43 | 4.10 | 6.60 |
| Unibet | 1.34 | 4.10 | 7.50 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 3.75 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .