Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 7

Cobán Imperial vs Guastatoya

0 – 1 Full time

15′J. Almanza
39′K. Valdez
46′Y. AlvarezL. Rosas
46′K. ValdezB. Aldana
52′B. CalabreseU. Amaral
53′S. ParedesC. Winter
57′C. RamirezA. Lon
58′N. Lovato
60′B. J. Leal Ramirez
61′A. Cabrera
62′A. ContrerasY. Aguilar
62′M. SequenC. Alvarado
70′N. LovatoV. Armas
70′V. AvalosA. Tejeda
75′L. De LeonM. Moreira
79′Y. Aguilar
82′Thales
87′H. Morales
89′U. Amaral
90′E. Yori

Estadio Verapaz

Cobán Imperial 51%
Draw 28%
Guastatoya 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cobán Imperial vs Guastatoya overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cobán Imperial vs Guastatoya

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCobán ImperialDrawGuastatoya
Model44.4%28.0%27.6%
Market53.0%27.4%19.6%
Final50.9%27.5%21.6%
Edge-8.6%+0.6%+8.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Cobán Imperial

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.15.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cobán Imperial ↓ / Guastatoya → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Cobán Imperial and Guastatoya expected goals

Cobán Imperial 1.51
Guastatoya 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.66

Cobán Imperial and Guastatoya attack and defence ratings

Cobán Imperial

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Guastatoya

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cobán Imperial vs Guastatoya: result vs prediction

Cobán Imperial 0 – 1 Guastatoya

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Cobán Imperial vs Guastatoya markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cobán Imperial 50.9% 1.97 -8.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.4% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.4% 1.84 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.4% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.6% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cobán Imperial50.9%
Draw27.5%
Guastatoya21.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.6%
Under 2.550.4%
Both teams to scoreYes54.4%
No45.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.4%
12 (either side)72.5%
X2 (draw or away)49.1%
Handicap -1Cobán Imperial win22.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss55.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
1-09.4%
2-19.2%

Cobán Imperial vs Guastatoya stats

Cobán Imperial and Guastatoya recent form

newest first
Cobán Imperial LLLWLD
Guastatoya LLWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cobán Imperial and Guastatoya going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cobán Imperial record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Guastatoya record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cobán Imperial vs Guastatoya head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Cobán Imperial wins 3Draws 4Guastatoya wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12Cobán ImperialGuastatoyaGuatemala Liga Nacional1-1
2026-02-22GuastatoyaCobán ImperialGuatemala Liga Nacional2-0
2025-10-04Cobán ImperialGuastatoyaGuatemala Liga Nacional2-1
2025-07-27GuastatoyaCobán ImperialGuatemala Liga Nacional0-1
2025-04-02Cobán ImperialGuastatoyaLiga Nacional0-0
2025-01-30GuastatoyaCobán ImperialLiga Nacional4-0
2024-11-24GuastatoyaCobán ImperialLiga Nacional2-0
2024-08-31Cobán ImperialGuastatoyaLiga Nacional3-0
2024-04-21Cobán ImperialGuastatoyaLiga Nacional3-3
2023-11-26GuastatoyaCobán ImperialLiga Nacional1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cobán Imperial vs Guastatoya odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.1%, draw 27.5%, away 20.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.72 3.26 4.70
Bet365 1.67 3.40 4.50
BetVictor 1.70 3.40 4.60
Betano 1.85 3.20 4.20
Betfair 1.70 3.40 4.40
Dafabet 1.81 3.15 4.30
Marathonbet 1.70 3.26 4.60
Pinnacle 1.78 3.32 4.38
Superbet 1.83 3.20 4.30
Unibet 1.74 3.15 4.30
William Hill 1.70 3.20 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▼ -0.04
X 3.29 ▲ +0.09
2 4.60 ▲ +0.20

6 snapshots recorded, from .