Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 7

Mixco vs Comunicaciones

1 – 1 Full time

27′G. Arce
45′J. Urizar
58′Y. PozuelosJ. Bolanos
58′JerryJ. Marquez
64′L. GarciaE. Garcia
66′E. Garcia
69′D. Santis
72′N. GarciaA. Ortiz
78′A. de la CruzO. Duarte
78′D. BradleyA. Vuletich
82′J. MoncadaS. Camacho
83′G. ArceO. Gonzalez
90′Mixco
90′K. Espino
Mixco 52%
Draw 27%
Comunicaciones 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Mixco vs Comunicaciones overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mixco vs Comunicaciones

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMixcoDrawComunicaciones
Model60.1%22.6%17.3%
Market49.6%27.8%22.6%
Final52.2%26.5%21.3%
Edge+10.5%-5.2%-5.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Mixco

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.04.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Mixco below the model: +10.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mixco ↓ / Comunicaciones → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 8% 11% 2 10% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Mixco and Comunicaciones expected goals

Mixco 2.07
Comunicaciones 1.04

Total expected goals: 3.11

Mixco and Comunicaciones attack and defence ratings

Mixco

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.46 +46%

Comunicaciones

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mixco vs Comunicaciones: result vs prediction

Mixco 1 – 1 Comunicaciones

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Mixco vs Comunicaciones markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mixco 52.2% 1.92 +10.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.1% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.4% 1.74 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.7% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.9% 2.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mixco52.2%
Draw26.5%
Comunicaciones21.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.1%
Under 2.539.9%
Both teams to scoreYes57.4%
No42.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.7%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)47.8%
Handicap -1Mixco win37.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss39.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
2-19.9%
2-09.6%

Mixco vs Comunicaciones stats

Mixco and Comunicaciones recent form

newest first
Mixco LWLWWL
Comunicaciones LLWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mixco and Comunicaciones going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mixco record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Comunicaciones record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mixco vs Comunicaciones head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Mixco wins 1Draws 3Comunicaciones wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-02ComunicacionesMixcoGuatemala Liga Nacional1-0
2026-02-14MixcoComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional2-2
2025-10-04ComunicacionesMixcoGuatemala Liga Nacional0-1
2025-07-26MixcoComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional1-0
2025-03-05MixcoComunicacionesLiga Nacional1-0
2025-01-18ComunicacionesMixcoLiga Nacional2-1
2024-09-18MixcoComunicacionesLiga Nacional2-1
2024-04-07ComunicacionesMixcoLiga Nacional0-1
2023-10-28MixcoComunicacionesLiga Nacional2-1
2023-04-23ComunicacionesMixcoLiga Nacional1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mixco vs Comunicaciones odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.2%, draw 28.0%, away 22.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.81 3.25 4.14
Bet365 1.85 3.30 3.60
BetVictor 1.85 3.30 4.00
Betano 1.91 3.20 3.90
Betfair 1.80 3.30 4.10
Dafabet 1.90 3.25 4.10
Marathonbet 1.79 3.25 4.05
Pinnacle 1.82 3.29 4.20
Superbet 1.90 3.20 4.00
Unibet 1.78 3.15 4.00
William Hill 1.85 3.00 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 ▼ -0.02
X 3.27 ▲ +0.22
2 4.03 ▲ +0.13

6 snapshots recorded, from .