Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 9

Marquense vs Deportivo San Pedro

0 – 0 Full time

16′C. Santos
16′G. Aguila
25′Marquense
29′L. Martinez
44′D. Chuc
46′L. MartinezY. A. Moran
46′M. RodasR. E. Corado Ruano
56′D. ChucA. Matta
61′D. OchaetaL. Garcia
61′L. B. deE. Sanchez
61′L. CalderonE. Garcia
65′G. AguilaA. Barrientos
82′E. MacalO. Salguero
82′S. ColonB. de Leon

Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos

Marquense 50%
Draw 27%
Deportivo San Pedro 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Marquense vs Deportivo San Pedro overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Marquense vs Deportivo San Pedro

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMarquenseDrawDeportivo San Pedro
Model37.7%29.4%32.9%
Market54.4%26.8%18.8%
Final50.2%27.4%22.3%
Edge-16.7%+2.6%+14.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Marquense ↓ / Deportivo San → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Marquense and Deportivo San Pedro expected goals

Marquense 1.31
Deportivo San Pedro 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.52

Marquense and Deportivo San Pedro attack and defence ratings

Marquense

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Deportivo San Pedro

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Marquense vs Deportivo San Pedro: result vs prediction

Marquense 0 – 0 Deportivo San Pedro

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Marquense vs Deportivo San Pedro markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Marquense 50.2% 1.99 -16.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.0% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.7% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.3% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Marquense50.2%
Draw27.4%
Deportivo San Pedro22.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.0%
Under 2.554.0%
Both teams to scoreYes52.4%
No47.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.7%
12 (either side)72.6%
X2 (draw or away)49.8%
Handicap -1Marquense win17.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss62.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-09.4%
1-09.3%

Marquense vs Deportivo San Pedro stats

Marquense and Deportivo San Pedro recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Marquense and Deportivo San Pedro going into this match

league record before kick-off

Marquense record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Deportivo San Pedro record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Marquense vs Deportivo San Pedro head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Marquense vs Deportivo San Pedro odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.4%, draw 26.8%, away 18.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.66 3.38 4.94
Bet365 1.73 3.30 4.20
BetVictor 1.67 3.50 4.80
Betano 1.72 3.40 4.65
Betfair 1.62 3.60 5.00
Marathonbet 1.64 3.38 4.85
Pinnacle 1.67 3.45 4.91
William Hill 1.67 3.25 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.67 ▲ +0.01
X 3.39 ▲ +0.01
2 4.82 ▼ -0.03

3 snapshots recorded, from .