Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 10

Deportivo San Pedro vs Cobán Imperial

1 – 1 Full time

34′Deportivo San Pedro
38′U. Amaral
41′G. Aguila
46′E. MacalO. Salguero
46′L. CalderonL. Martinez
56′Y. MatosY. A. Moran
57′J. Chacon
59′M. Moreira
63′J. ChaconB. de Leon
64′U. AmaralB. Calabrese
66′K. Valdez
78′E. FuentesB. Aldana
82′M. Moreira
83′A. CabreraE. Soto
83′M. MoreiraL. Rosas
85′Y. Alvarez
88′Y. Alvarez
88′Y. Alvarez
90′R. Folleco
Deportivo San Pedro 54%
Draw 27%
Cobán Imperial 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Deportivo San Pedro vs Cobán Imperial overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo San Pedro vs Cobán Imperial

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo San PedroDrawCobán Imperial
Model70.8%20.9%8.4%
Market48.8%28.7%22.6%
Final54.3%26.7%19.0%
Edge+22.0%-7.8%-14.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo San Pedro

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.56.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Deportivo San Pedro below the model: +22.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo San ↓ / Cobán Imperial → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 15% 10% 2 16% 9% 3 10% 4+ 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Deportivo San Pedro and Cobán Imperial expected goals

Deportivo San Pedro 2.00
Cobán Imperial 0.56

Total expected goals: 2.55

Deportivo San Pedro and Cobán Imperial attack and defence ratings

Deportivo San Pedro

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Cobán Imperial

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo San Pedro vs Cobán Imperial: result vs prediction

Deportivo San Pedro 1 – 1 Cobán Imperial

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Deportivo San Pedro vs Cobán Imperial markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo San Pedro 54.3% 1.84 +22.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.0% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score No 62.3% 1.61 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.0% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Deportivo San Pedro win 45.7% 2.19 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo San Pedro54.3%
Draw26.7%
Cobán Imperial19.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.0%
Under 2.553.0%
Both teams to scoreYes37.7%
No62.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.0%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)45.7%
Handicap -1Deportivo San Pedro win45.7%
Push (exactly one goal)25.1%
Loss29.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-015.5%
1-014.7%
3-010.3%

Deportivo San Pedro vs Cobán Imperial stats

Deportivo San Pedro and Cobán Imperial recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo San Pedro and Cobán Imperial going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo San Pedro record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

Cobán Imperial record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

Deportivo San Pedro vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Deportivo San Pedro vs Cobán Imperial odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 28.7%, away 22.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.83 3.10 4.17
Bet365 1.85 3.10 4.00
BetVictor 1.87 3.25 4.00
Betano 1.91 3.20 3.90
Betfair 1.85 3.30 3.80
Marathonbet 1.81 3.10 4.05
Pinnacle 1.88 3.19 4.06
William Hill 1.85 3.00 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▲ +0.02
X 3.15 —
2 4.00 ▼ -0.03

2 snapshots recorded, from .