Suchitepéquez
vs
Xelajú
2 – 2 Full time
Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú
| Probability | Suchitepéquez | Draw | Xelajú |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.7% | 26.1% | 37.2% |
| Market | 41.1% | 28.7% | 30.2% |
| Final | 40.0% | 28.1% | 32.0% |
| Edge | -4.4% | -2.6% | +7.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Suchitepéquez and Xelajú expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
Suchitepéquez and Xelajú attack and defence ratings
Suchitepéquez
Xelajú
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú: result vs prediction
Suchitepéquez 2 – 2 Xelajú
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Suchitepéquez | 40.0% | 2.50 | -4.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Suchitepéquez | 40.0% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Xelajú | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.9% |
| No | 37.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Suchitepéquez win | 18.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 63.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.4% |
Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú stats
Suchitepéquez and Xelajú recent form
| Suchitepéquez |
LDLWLL |
| Xelajú |
LDWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Suchitepéquez and Xelajú going into this match
Suchitepéquez record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Xelajú record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-04-08 | Xelajú | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 4-3 |
| 2018-02-11 | Suchitepéquez | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2017-10-12 | Xelajú | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 4-1 |
| 2017-08-09 | Suchitepéquez | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 4-1 |
| 2017-04-09 | Suchitepéquez | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2017-02-12 | Xelajú | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2016-11-03 | Suchitepéquez | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2016-08-15 | Xelajú | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2016-04-10 | Suchitepéquez | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2016-02-11 | Xelajú | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Suchitepéquez vs Xelajú odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 28.7%, away 30.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.16 | 2.98 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.13 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.25 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.16 | 2.90 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.34 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .