Guastatoya
vs
Xelajú
2 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | J. Almanza | ||
| 24′ | M. Sequen | ||
| 28′ | J. Cardona | ||
| 42′ | J. Cardona | ||
| 46′ | R. MarquezJ. Ubico | ||
| 46′ | R. CalderonJ. Gonzalez | ||
| 48′ | V. Avalos | ||
| 56′ | M. SequenC. Ramirez | ||
| 56′ | J. EstradaY. Aguilar | ||
| 60′ | W. Tebalan | ||
| 62′ | Y. JaenO. de Leon | ||
| 67′ | E. Sican | ||
| 67′ | E. Yori | ||
| 71′ | V. AvalosA. Tejeda | ||
| 77′ | S. CardenasH. E. Quezada Gamez | ||
| 79′ | D. Casas | ||
| 84′ | M. HernandezA. Lopez | ||
| 90′ | A. ContrerasL. Macal | ||
| 90′ | J. Gonzalez | ||
| 90′ | C. Ramirez |
Guastatoya vs Xelajú overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Guastatoya vs Xelajú
| Probability | Guastatoya | Draw | Xelajú |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.9% | 26.9% | 23.2% |
| Market | 40.2% | 34.0% | 25.7% |
| Final | 42.7% | 32.3% | 25.1% |
| Edge | +9.7% | -7.1% | -2.5% |
Why Guastatoya
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.05.
- The market prices Guastatoya below the model: +9.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Guastatoya and Xelajú expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Guastatoya and Xelajú attack and defence ratings
Guastatoya
Xelajú
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Guastatoya vs Xelajú: result vs prediction
Guastatoya 2 – 1 Xelajú
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Guastatoya vs Xelajú markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guastatoya | 42.7% | 2.34 | +9.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guastatoya | 42.7% |
| Draw | 32.3% | |
| Xelajú | 25.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% |
| No | 46.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Guastatoya win | 27.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.6% |
Guastatoya vs Xelajú stats
Guastatoya and Xelajú recent form
| Guastatoya |
DWLLWL |
| Xelajú |
DWWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Guastatoya and Xelajú going into this match
Guastatoya record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Xelajú record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Guastatoya vs Xelajú head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | Xelajú | Guastatoya | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Guastatoya | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Guastatoya | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-18 | Xelajú | Guastatoya | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 5-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Guastatoya | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-09 | Xelajú | Guastatoya | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-15 | Guastatoya | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-17 | Guastatoya | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Xelajú | Guastatoya | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-21 | Xelajú | Guastatoya | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Guastatoya vs Xelajú odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 34.0%, away 25.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 2.66 | 3.61 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 2.65 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 2.70 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 2.66 | 3.52 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32 | 2.56 | 3.71 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 2.88 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .