Guatemala Liga Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Antigua GFC
vs
Municipal
1 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | C. Hernandez | ||
| 22′ | A. Cabeza | ||
| 23′ | J. Franco | ||
| 26′ | W. PazA. Gonzalez | ||
| 44′ | D. Fernandez | ||
| 46′ | A. CabezaJ. Martinez | ||
| 53′ | J. Carbonell | ||
| 56′ | C. HernandezP. Altan | ||
| 57′ | R. Saravia | ||
| 61′ | J. FrancoW. Fajardo | ||
| 61′ | S. GarzaroJ. Espinoza | ||
| 68′ | R. SaraviaJ. Franco | ||
| 68′ | J. MendezJ. Bantes | ||
| 70′ | D. FernandezE. Camargo | ||
| 74′ | E. Camargo | ||
| 75′ | J. Rosales | ||
| 80′ | E. LopezC. Archila | ||
| 89′ | A. David | ||
| 90′ | O. Castellanos |
Antigua GFC
35%
Draw
28%
Municipal
38%
Antigua GFC vs Municipal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Antigua GFC vs Municipal
| Probability | Antigua GFC | Draw | Municipal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.8% | 27.1% | 45.1% |
| Market | 37.0% | 28.1% | 35.0% |
| Final | 34.7% | 27.8% | 37.5% |
| Edge | -9.2% | -1.0% | +10.2% |
Why Municipal
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Municipal below the model: +10.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
Antigua GFC and Municipal expected goals
Antigua GFC
1.21
Municipal
1.59
Total expected goals: 2.80
Antigua GFC and Municipal attack and defence ratings
Antigua GFC
Attack
1.28 +28%
Defence
1.34 +34%
Municipal
Attack
1.40 +40%
Defence
0.57 -43%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Antigua GFC vs Municipal: result vs prediction
Antigua GFC 1 – 1 Municipal
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Antigua GFC vs Municipal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal | 37.5% | 2.67 | +10.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antigua GFC | 34.7% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Municipal | 37.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% |
| No | 43.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal win | 23.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 54.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 0-1 | 8.5% |
Antigua GFC vs Municipal stats
Antigua GFC and Municipal recent form
| Antigua GFC |
LLLWWW |
| Municipal |
WDWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Antigua GFC and Municipal going into this match
Antigua GFC record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Municipal record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Antigua GFC vs Municipal head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Antigua GFC wins
2Draws
3Municipal wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Antigua GFC | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Municipal | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 4-2 |
| 2025-12-28 | Municipal | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Antigua GFC | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Municipal | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Antigua GFC | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Municipal | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-16 | Antigua GFC | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-02 | Municipal | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-30 | Antigua GFC | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Antigua GFC vs Municipal odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.0%, draw 28.1%, away 35.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.16 | 2.59 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.65 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.46 | 3.35 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 3.16 | 2.59 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.45 ▲ +0.25
X
3.23 ▲ +0.02
2
2.59 ▼ -0.25
4 snapshots recorded, from .