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Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 13

Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial

2 – 1 Full time

15′Janderson
39′K. J. Lopez
46′A. IcalY. Alvarez
56′S. GarzaroJ. Espinoza
56′D. FernandezA. Maziero
59′C. WinterU. Amaral
70′K. J. LopezJ. Rosales
70′O. CastellanosE. Camargo
71′A. Garcia
72′M. Moreira
77′A. GarciaJ. Colindres
81′D. Torres
85′A. Maziero
90′M. MoreiraS. Paredes
90′A. Robinson
90′U. Amaral

Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala

Antigua GFC 57%
Draw 24%
Cobán Imperial 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAntigua GFCDrawCobán Imperial
Model59.4%21.9%18.7%
Market56.0%24.3%19.7%
Final56.8%23.7%19.5%
Edge+0.9%-0.6%-0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Antigua GFC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.16.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Antigua GFC ↓ / Cobán Imperial → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 5% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 5% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 5%

Antigua GFC and Cobán Imperial expected goals

Antigua GFC 2.16
Cobán Imperial 1.16

Total expected goals: 3.32

Antigua GFC and Cobán Imperial attack and defence ratings

Antigua GFC

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Cobán Imperial

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial: result vs prediction

Antigua GFC 2 – 1 Cobán Imperial

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Antigua GFC 56.8% 1.76 +0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.7% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.8% 1.62 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.5% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.9% 2.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Antigua GFC56.8%
Draw23.7%
Cobán Imperial19.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.7%
Under 2.535.3%
Both teams to scoreYes61.8%
No38.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.5%
12 (either side)76.3%
X2 (draw or away)43.2%
Handicap -1Antigua GFC win37.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss40.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.9%
2-19.8%
2-08.4%

Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial stats

Antigua GFC and Cobán Imperial recent form

newest first
Antigua GFC DLLLWW
Cobán Imperial WWDDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Antigua GFC and Cobán Imperial going into this match

league record before kick-off

Antigua GFC record

  • They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Cobán Imperial record

  • They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.

Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Antigua GFC wins 3Draws 3Cobán Imperial wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-19Cobán ImperialAntigua GFCGuatemala Liga Nacional0-2
2026-03-09Antigua GFCCobán ImperialGuatemala Liga Nacional2-2
2026-01-21Cobán ImperialAntigua GFCGuatemala Liga Nacional5-1
2025-11-06Antigua GFCCobán ImperialGuatemala Liga Nacional0-0
2025-08-31Cobán ImperialAntigua GFCGuatemala Liga Nacional2-2
2025-05-11Antigua GFCCobán ImperialLiga Nacional4-0
2025-05-07Cobán ImperialAntigua GFCLiga Nacional2-1
2025-04-13Antigua GFCCobán ImperialLiga Nacional2-1
2025-02-09Cobán ImperialAntigua GFCLiga Nacional0-1
2024-11-03Antigua GFCCobán ImperialLiga Nacional0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.0%, draw 24.3%, away 19.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.60 3.68 4.72
Bet365 1.62 3.75 4.33
BetVictor 1.62 3.80 4.75
Betano 1.67 3.70 4.50
Betfair 1.55 3.90 5.00
Dafabet 1.64 3.85 4.70
Marathonbet 1.58 3.68 4.60
Pinnacle 1.66 3.73 4.51
William Hill 1.67 3.40 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 —
X 3.73 ▼ -0.02
2 4.60 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .