Antigua GFC
vs
Cobán Imperial
Garuda Lions Prediction: Antigua GFC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial
| Probability | Antigua GFC | Draw | Cobán Imperial |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.3% | 22.0% | 18.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.3% | 22.0% | 18.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Antigua GFC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.16.
Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial match preview
Antigua GFC faces Cobán Imperial in a matchup where the model gives Antigua a 60% chance of winning, while Cobán Imperial is at 18%. The expected goals suggest a strong offensive performance from Antigua GFC, with a projection of 2.27 goals compared to Cobán Imperial's 1.21. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% probability, and there is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
In terms of recent form, Antigua GFC has fluctuated with three losses followed by two wins, while Cobán Imperial has had a more stable run with two wins, three draws, and one loss. The head-to-head record over the last five encounters shows a balanced competition, with each team having one win and three draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Antigua GFC and Cobán Imperial expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.33
Antigua GFC and Cobán Imperial attack and defence ratings
Antigua GFC
Cobán Imperial
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antigua GFC | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antigua GFC | 59.3% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Cobán Imperial | 18.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.8% |
| No | 38.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Antigua GFC win | 37.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 40.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.4% |
Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial stats
Antigua GFC and Cobán Imperial recent form
| Antigua GFC |
DLLLWW |
| Cobán Imperial |
WWDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Antigua GFC and Cobán Imperial season so far
Antigua GFC record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Cobán Imperial record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Cobán Imperial | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2026-03-09 | Antigua GFC | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2026-01-21 | Cobán Imperial | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 5-1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Antigua GFC | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Cobán Imperial | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.