Cobán Imperial
vs
Municipal
Garuda Lions Prediction: Municipal
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Cobán Imperial vs Municipal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cobán Imperial vs Municipal
| Probability | Cobán Imperial | Draw | Municipal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.1% | 31.0% | 37.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.1% | 31.0% | 37.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Municipal
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Cobán Imperial vs Municipal match preview
Cobán Imperial faces Municipal in an upcoming Liga Nacional match, with probabilities indicating a competitive encounter. Our model assigns Cobán Imperial a 31% chance of victory, while Municipal holds a 38% likelihood of winning, and a draw also stands at 31%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 0-1 in favor of Municipal, occurring with an 11% probability. Expected goals are calculated at 1.08 for Cobán Imperial and 1.21 for Municipal.
In terms of recent form, Cobán Imperial has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while Municipal boasts a stronger run with three wins and two draws in the same period. Historically, Municipal has had the upper hand in their last five encounters, winning three times and drawing twice against Cobán Imperial. Both teams have a 48% chance of scoring, and there is a 40% probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cobán Imperial and Municipal expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
Cobán Imperial and Municipal attack and defence ratings
Cobán Imperial
Municipal
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cobán Imperial vs Municipal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cobán Imperial | 31.1% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| Municipal | 37.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.6% |
| No | 52.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal win | 16.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 62.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.5% | |
| 0-1 | 11.0% |
Cobán Imperial vs Municipal stats
Cobán Imperial and Municipal recent form
| Cobán Imperial |
WWDDDL |
| Municipal |
DWDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cobán Imperial and Municipal season so far
Cobán Imperial record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Municipal record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Cobán Imperial vs Municipal head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Municipal | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Municipal | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cobán Imperial | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Municipal | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | Cobán Imperial | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.