Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 14

Cobán Imperial vs Municipal

2 – 1 Full time

9′A. Cabrera
10′A. Ical
13′N. Samayoa
34′J. Bantes
40′C. Hernandez
45′M. Moreira
46′A. IcalS. Paredes
46′L. RosasY. Alvarez
46′C. HernandezP. Altan
46′E. ElingtonR. Munoz
46′J. BantesJ. Martinez
61′J. WinterU. Amaral
67′N. SamayoaY. Y. Perez
76′R. BarrientosE. Lopez
79′B. AldanaW. Amaya
82′S. Paredes
87′M. MoreiraK. Valdez
90′P. Altan

Estadio Verapaz

Cobán Imperial 34%
Draw 30%
Municipal 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cobán Imperial vs Municipal overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cobán Imperial vs Municipal

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCobán ImperialDrawMunicipal
Model32.5%30.9%36.7%
Market34.3%29.3%36.4%
Final33.8%29.7%36.4%
Edge-0.5%+0.4%+0.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cobán Imperial ↓ / Municipal → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 11% 1 10% 15% 8% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Cobán Imperial and Municipal expected goals

Cobán Imperial 1.12
Municipal 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.32

Cobán Imperial and Municipal attack and defence ratings

Cobán Imperial

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Municipal

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.65 -35%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cobán Imperial vs Municipal: result vs prediction

Cobán Imperial 2 – 1 Municipal

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Cobán Imperial vs Municipal markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Municipal 36.4% 2.74 +0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.2% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score No 51.7% 1.94 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.3% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.3% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cobán Imperial33.8%
Draw29.7%
Municipal36.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.8%
Under 2.559.2%
Both teams to scoreYes48.3%
No51.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.6%
12 (either side)70.3%
X2 (draw or away)66.2%
Handicap -1Municipal win16.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss63.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-011.2%
0-110.5%

Cobán Imperial vs Municipal stats

Cobán Imperial and Municipal recent form

newest first
Cobán Imperial LWWDDD
Municipal DDWDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cobán Imperial and Municipal going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cobán Imperial record

  • They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.

Municipal record

  • They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Cobán Imperial vs Municipal head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Cobán Imperial wins 3Draws 5Municipal wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-09MunicipalCobán ImperialGuatemala Liga Nacional2-0
2026-04-06MunicipalCobán ImperialGuatemala Liga Nacional0-0
2026-02-18Cobán ImperialMunicipalGuatemala Liga Nacional0-0
2025-10-12MunicipalCobán ImperialGuatemala Liga Nacional3-1
2025-08-03Cobán ImperialMunicipalGuatemala Liga Nacional0-1
2025-04-27Cobán ImperialMunicipalLiga Nacional2-1
2025-03-02MunicipalCobán ImperialLiga Nacional2-1
2024-11-16Cobán ImperialMunicipalLiga Nacional3-0
2024-03-28MunicipalCobán ImperialLiga Nacional2-1
2023-10-21Cobán ImperialMunicipalLiga Nacional2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cobán Imperial vs Municipal odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.3%, draw 29.3%, away 36.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.54 3.04 2.50
Bet365 2.70 3.10 2.35
BetVictor 2.63 3.20 2.50
Betano 2.67 3.10 2.55
Betfair 2.63 3.30 2.38
Dafabet 2.65 3.15 2.60
Marathonbet 2.54 3.04 2.50
Pinnacle 2.73 3.07 2.50
William Hill 2.70 3.00 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.65 ▼ -0.05
X 3.10 ▼ -0.02
2 2.50 ▲ +0.16

6 snapshots recorded, from .