Xelajú
vs
Malacateco
2 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | E. Quinones | ||
| 32′ | O. de Leon | ||
| 32′ | J. Cardona | ||
| 46′ | G. VasquezJ. Longo | ||
| 51′ | H. E. Quezada Gamez | ||
| 58′ | A. SotoF. Morales | ||
| 58′ | D. J. Guzman MironR. Garcia | ||
| 72′ | A. MoralesJ. Trigueno | ||
| 75′ | O. de LeonR. Marquez | ||
| 76′ | E. QuinonesJ. Correa | ||
| 82′ | M. Chun | ||
| 90′ | Xelajú | ||
| 90′ | H. E. Quezada GamezJ. Castaneda |
Xelajú vs Malacateco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Xelajú vs Malacateco
| Probability | Xelajú | Draw | Malacateco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.6% | 19.6% | 10.8% |
| Market | 63.2% | 22.8% | 14.0% |
| Final | 64.8% | 22.0% | 13.2% |
| Edge | +1.6% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
Why Xelajú
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 0.80.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Xelajú and Malacateco expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.06
Xelajú and Malacateco attack and defence ratings
Xelajú
Malacateco
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Xelajú vs Malacateco: result vs prediction
Xelajú 2 – 1 Malacateco
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Xelajú vs Malacateco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Xelajú | 64.8% | 1.54 | +1.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Xelajú win | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Xelajú | 64.8% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Malacateco | 13.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Xelajú win | 46.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 30.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.0% |
| 1-0 | 9.8% | |
| 2-1 | 9.6% |
Xelajú vs Malacateco stats
Xelajú and Malacateco recent form
| Xelajú |
LWLWDL |
| Malacateco |
WLLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Xelajú and Malacateco going into this match
Xelajú record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
Malacateco record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Xelajú vs Malacateco head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Malacateco | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2026-04-06 | Xelajú | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Malacateco | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Xelajú | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Malacateco | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Xelajú | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-01-30 | Malacateco | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Malacateco | Xelajú | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Xelajú | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-18 | Xelajú | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Xelajú vs Malacateco odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.2%, draw 22.8%, away 14.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 3.94 | 6.21 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 4.50 | 8.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.48 | 4.00 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 3.94 | 5.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 4.01 | 6.68 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 3.70 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .