Guatemala Liga Nacional · ·Matchday 14

Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro

Garuda Lions Prediction: Suchitepéquez

1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Suchitepéquez 36%
Draw 30%
Deportivo San Pedro 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Suchitepéquez wins
36%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
90%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
51%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
9% of simulated outcomes

Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySuchitepéquezDrawDeportivo San Pedro
Model36.2%29.9%33.9%
Market———
Final36.2%29.9%33.9%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro match preview

Suchitepéquez faces Deportivo San Pedro in a match where the probabilities suggest a closely contested encounter, with Suchitepéquez at 36%, a draw at 30%, and Deportivo San Pedro at 34%. The expected goals are slightly in favor of Suchitepéquez at 1.25 compared to Deportivo San Pedro's 1.20, indicating a potential for a low-scoring game, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0, which has a 9% probability.

Both teams have struggled recently, with Suchitepéquez recording a series of losses and draws (L-L-D-L-D-L) and Deportivo San Pedro showing a similar trend but with a slight improvement, including one win (L-L-D-D-W-D). The model indicates a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% probability that both teams will score, suggesting a competitive match ahead.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Suchitepéquez ↓ / Deportivo San → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Suchitepéquez and Deportivo San Pedro expected goals

Suchitepéquez 1.25
Deportivo San Pedro 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.45

Suchitepéquez and Deportivo San Pedro attack and defence ratings

Suchitepéquez

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.60 +60%

Deportivo San Pedro

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Suchitepéquez 36.2% 2.76 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.6% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.2% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.1% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.8% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Suchitepéquez36.2%
Draw29.9%
Deportivo San Pedro33.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.4%
Under 2.555.6%
Both teams to scoreYes51.2%
No48.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.1%
12 (either side)70.1%
X2 (draw or away)63.8%
Handicap -1Suchitepéquez win16.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss63.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-09.9%
1-09.5%

Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro stats

Suchitepéquez and Deportivo San Pedro recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Suchitepéquez and Deportivo San Pedro season so far

league record

Suchitepéquez record

  • They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.

Deportivo San Pedro record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.

Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Suchitepéquez wins 0Draws 1Deportivo San Pedro wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-09Deportivo San PedroSuchitepéquezGuatemala Liga Nacional3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Suchitepéquez vs Deportivo San Pedro odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Suchitepéquez Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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