Guatemala Liga Nacional · ·Matchday 13

Deportivo San Pedro vs Comunicaciones

Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo San Pedro

1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability

Deportivo San Pedro 43%
Draw 32%
Comunicaciones 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Deportivo San Pedro wins
43%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
49%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
12% of simulated outcomes

Deportivo San Pedro vs Comunicaciones overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo San Pedro vs Comunicaciones

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo San PedroDrawComunicaciones
Model53.0%27.2%19.8%
Market40.1%33.1%26.9%
Final43.3%31.6%25.1%
Edge+13.0%-5.9%-7.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo San Pedro

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 0.90.
  • The market prices Deportivo San Pedro below the model: +13.0 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Deportivo San Pedro vs Comunicaciones match preview

Deportivo San Pedro faces Comunicaciones in the Guatemala Liga Nacional, with a kickoff set for October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 53% probability of a Deportivo San Pedro victory, while a draw stands at 27% and Comunicaciones at 20%. The expected goals for Deportivo San Pedro are 1.62, compared to 0.90 for Comunicaciones, suggesting a potential edge for the home side. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, occurring with a 12% probability.

In terms of recent form, Deportivo San Pedro has recorded two losses, two draws, and one win in their last five matches, while Comunicaciones has achieved two wins, two draws, and one loss. The head-to-head record shows that Deportivo San Pedro has not secured a win against Comunicaciones in their last encounter, which ended in a victory for the latter. Both teams have a 49% chance of scoring, and there is a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo San ↓ / Comunicaciones → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 12% 13% 2 11% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Deportivo San Pedro and Comunicaciones expected goals

Deportivo San Pedro 1.62
Comunicaciones 0.90

Total expected goals: 2.52

Deportivo San Pedro and Comunicaciones attack and defence ratings

Deportivo San Pedro

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Comunicaciones

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Deportivo San Pedro vs Comunicaciones markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo San Pedro 43.3% 2.31 +13.0% 2.32
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.8% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score No 51.1% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.9% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.0% 2.13 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo San Pedro43.3%
Draw31.6%
Comunicaciones25.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.2%
Under 2.553.8%
Both teams to scoreYes48.9%
No51.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.9%
12 (either side)68.4%
X2 (draw or away)56.7%
Handicap -1Deportivo San Pedro win29.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.9%
Loss47.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
1-011.8%
2-010.5%

Deportivo San Pedro vs Comunicaciones stats

Deportivo San Pedro and Comunicaciones recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo San Pedro and Comunicaciones season so far

league record

Deportivo San Pedro record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.

Comunicaciones record

  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo San Pedro vs Comunicaciones head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Deportivo San Pedro wins 0Draws 1Comunicaciones wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-02ComunicacionesDeportivo San PedroGuatemala Liga Nacional1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo San Pedro vs Comunicaciones odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.1%, draw 33.1%, away 26.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.22 2.76 3.38
Bet365 2.00 3.25 3.40
Betano 2.32 2.75 3.40
Betfair 2.20 3.00 3.10
Dafabet 2.28 2.70 3.40
Pinnacle 2.32 2.72 3.41
William Hill 2.30 2.88 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.28 ▲ +0.28
X 2.76 ▼ -0.39
2 3.40 —

6 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Deportivo San Pedro Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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