Aurora
vs
Xelajú
2 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | C. Monterroso | ||
| 23′ | S. Cardenas | ||
| 23′ | C. Flores | ||
| 31′ | M. Acosta | ||
| 34′ | S. Cardenas | ||
| 46′ | S. CardenasH. E. Quezada Gamez | ||
| 46′ | J. CastanedaM. Hernandez | ||
| 46′ | C. MonterrosoJ. Rodriguez | ||
| 46′ | L. AguilarA. J. Echeverria Perez | ||
| 50′ | H. Morales | ||
| 54′ | J. Gonzalez | ||
| 60′ | Xelajú | ||
| 61′ | J. JojE. Gonzalez | ||
| 73′ | H. Morales | ||
| 79′ | H. MoralesD. Ruiz | ||
| 81′ | V. UriasJ. Ticuru | ||
| 83′ | Y. JaenY. Diaz | ||
| 83′ | E. CardozaO. de Leon | ||
| 90′ | K. GarciaJ. Lemus |
Aurora vs Xelajú overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aurora vs Xelajú
| Probability | Aurora | Draw | Xelajú |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.6% | 24.6% | 36.8% |
| Market | 35.7% | 28.0% | 36.4% |
| Final | 36.4% | 27.1% | 36.5% |
| Edge | +0.7% | -0.8% | +0.1% |
Why Xelajú
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aurora and Xelajú expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.39
Aurora and Xelajú attack and defence ratings
Aurora
Xelajú
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aurora vs Xelajú: result vs prediction
Aurora 2 – 1 Xelajú
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aurora vs Xelajú markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Xelajú | 36.5% | 2.74 | +0.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aurora | 36.4% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Xelajú | 36.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% |
| No | 32.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Xelajú win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 63.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.3% | |
| 1-2 | 8.1% |
Aurora vs Xelajú stats
Aurora and Xelajú recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aurora and Xelajú going into this match
Aurora record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Xelajú record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
Aurora vs Xelajú head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Xelajú | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Aurora | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Xelajú | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Aurora | Xelajú | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-14 | Xelajú | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aurora vs Xelajú odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.7%, draw 28.0%, away 36.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.55 | 3.12 | 2.44 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.55 | 3.12 | 2.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.57 | 3.28 | 2.52 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .