Malacateco
vs
Comunicaciones
Garuda Lions Prediction: Malacateco
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Malacateco vs Comunicaciones overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Malacateco vs Comunicaciones
| Probability | Malacateco | Draw | Comunicaciones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.2% | 26.1% | 19.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.2% | 26.1% | 19.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Malacateco
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.95.
Malacateco vs Comunicaciones match preview
Malacateco faces Comunicaciones in their upcoming match, with a probability of 54% for a Malacateco victory according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, occurring with an 11% probability. Expected goals for Malacateco stand at 1.68, while Comunicaciones is projected at 0.94. The recent form shows Malacateco with a mixed record of W-L-L-W-D-L, contrasting with Comunicaciones' L-W-W-L-D-L.
In their last five encounters, Malacateco has secured 2 wins, while Comunicaciones has claimed 3 victories, indicating a competitive historical matchup. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49%, and both teams to score is at 51%. The confidence grade for this analysis is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Malacateco and Comunicaciones expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
Malacateco and Comunicaciones attack and defence ratings
Malacateco
Comunicaciones
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Malacateco vs Comunicaciones markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malacateco | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.8% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malacateco | 54.2% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Comunicaciones | 19.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% |
| No | 48.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Malacateco win | 30.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 45.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 10.8% | |
| 2-0 | 10.2% |
Malacateco vs Comunicaciones stats
Malacateco and Comunicaciones recent form
| Malacateco |
LWLLWD |
| Comunicaciones |
LLWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Malacateco and Comunicaciones season so far
Malacateco record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Comunicaciones record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Malacateco vs Comunicaciones head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Comunicaciones | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 4-2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Malacateco | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Comunicaciones | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Malacateco | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Comunicaciones | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-24 | Malacateco | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-24 | Comunicaciones | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-07 | Malacateco | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-10 | Malacateco | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2024-02-11 | Comunicaciones | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.