Cobán Imperial
vs
Malacateco
2 – 0 Full time
| 12′ | J. Winter | ||
| 18′ | J. Castaneda | ||
| 38′ | A. Cabrera | ||
| 39′ | Y. Alvarez | ||
| 46′ | N. AndradeV. Paz | ||
| 46′ | E. QuinonesJ. Correa | ||
| 46′ | J. SandovalW. Amaya | ||
| 46′ | A. IcalK. Valdez | ||
| 46′ | J. LongoG. Vasquez | ||
| 54′ | Y. AlvarezS. Paredes | ||
| 66′ | Thales | ||
| 67′ | ThalesS. Teni | ||
| 75′ | Cobán Imperial | ||
| 78′ | K. Valdez | ||
| 81′ | J. WinterU. Amaral | ||
| 84′ | A. SotoI. de Leon |
Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco
| Probability | Cobán Imperial | Draw | Malacateco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.4% | 25.8% | 17.7% |
| Market | 57.0% | 25.1% | 17.9% |
| Final | 56.9% | 25.3% | 17.9% |
| Edge | -0.6% | +0.7% | -0.2% |
Why Cobán Imperial
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.88.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cobán Imperial and Malacateco expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Cobán Imperial and Malacateco attack and defence ratings
Cobán Imperial
Malacateco
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco: result vs prediction
Cobán Imperial 2 – 0 Malacateco
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cobán Imperial | 56.9% | 1.76 | -0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.6% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cobán Imperial | 56.9% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Malacateco | 17.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.2% |
| No | 50.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cobán Imperial win | 32.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 43.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 2-0 | 11.0% |
Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco stats
Cobán Imperial and Malacateco recent form
| Cobán Imperial |
WDDDLL |
| Malacateco |
LWDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cobán Imperial and Malacateco going into this match
Cobán Imperial record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Malacateco record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Malacateco | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Malacateco | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Cobán Imperial | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Cobán Imperial | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Malacateco | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Cobán Imperial | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-01 | Malacateco | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-07 | Malacateco | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional | 4-1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Cobán Imperial | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-21 | Malacateco | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.0%, draw 25.1%, away 17.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 4.12 | 5.25 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.30 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.55 | 5.00 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 3.66 | 5.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 3.60 | 5.66 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .