Cobán Imperial
vs
Aurora
3 – 2 Full time
| 8′ | Janderson | ||
| 23′ | H. Morales | ||
| 36′ | Cobán Imperial | ||
| 45′ | L. De Leon | ||
| 46′ | A. CabreraS. Paredes | ||
| 46′ | M. MoreiraL. Rosas | ||
| 48′ | S. Paredes | ||
| 58′ | J. Vivas | ||
| 62′ | A. J. Echeverria PerezV. Urias | ||
| 63′ | C. WinterB. Calabrese | ||
| 63′ | Thales | ||
| 70′ | H. MoralesD. Gomez | ||
| 70′ | J. VivasE. Ibarguen | ||
| 78′ | K. ValdezW. Amaya | ||
| 82′ | D. Navas | ||
| 84′ | Janderson | ||
| 87′ | A. CabreraS. Teni | ||
| 88′ | K. GarciaJ. Ticuru | ||
| 88′ | J. GrajedaH. Del Cid | ||
| 90′ | Aurora |
Cobán Imperial vs Aurora overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cobán Imperial vs Aurora
| Probability | Cobán Imperial | Draw | Aurora |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.8% | 25.8% | 19.5% |
| Market | 60.5% | 23.8% | 15.7% |
| Final | 59.1% | 24.3% | 16.6% |
| Edge | -5.8% | +2.0% | +3.8% |
Why Cobán Imperial
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.96.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cobán Imperial and Aurora expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
Cobán Imperial and Aurora attack and defence ratings
Cobán Imperial
Aurora
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cobán Imperial vs Aurora: result vs prediction
Cobán Imperial 3 – 2 Aurora
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cobán Imperial vs Aurora markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cobán Imperial | 59.1% | 1.69 | -5.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cobán Imperial | 59.1% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Aurora | 16.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% |
| No | 48.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cobán Imperial win | 31.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 45.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 2-0 | 10.2% |
Cobán Imperial vs Aurora stats
Cobán Imperial and Aurora recent form
| Cobán Imperial |
DDDLLL |
| Aurora |
WLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cobán Imperial and Aurora going into this match
Cobán Imperial record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aurora record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cobán Imperial vs Aurora head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | Cobán Imperial | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Aurora | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Cobán Imperial | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Aurora | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2014-11-30 | Cobán Imperial | Aurora | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2014-11-23 | Aurora | Cobán Imperial | Primera Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cobán Imperial vs Aurora odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.5%, draw 23.8%, away 15.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 3.84 | 5.94 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.75 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.52 | 3.90 | 5.80 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 3.81 | 5.79 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.50 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .