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Guatemala Liga Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 11

Mixco vs Antigua GFC

3 – 1 Full time

13′A. MazieroJ. Franco
16′Jerry
26′A. GonzalezD. Fernandez
26′A. RobinsonS. Zuniga
27′Antigua GFC
33′Y. Pozuelos
42′E. Camargo
45′Antigua GFC
45′Mixco
61′J. Bolanos
62′E. CamargoS. Garzaro
62′J. EspinozaS. Sagastume
64′Y. Pozuelos
68′G. ArceE. Zuniga
68′Y. PozuelosE. Garcia
83′K. J. Lopez
85′R. MarroquinM. Gomez
85′Mixco
90′L. GarciaJ. Chinchilla
90′JerryK. Lemus
90′Mixco
Mixco 40%
Draw 27%
Antigua GFC 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Mixco vs Antigua GFC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mixco vs Antigua GFC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMixcoDrawAntigua GFC
Model44.5%23.7%31.8%
Market38.6%28.0%33.4%
Final40.1%26.9%33.0%
Edge+5.9%-4.3%-1.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Mixco

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.61.
  • The market prices Mixco below the model: +5.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mixco ↓ / Antigua GFC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 7% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Mixco and Antigua GFC expected goals

Mixco 1.92
Antigua GFC 1.61

Total expected goals: 3.53

Mixco and Antigua GFC attack and defence ratings

Mixco

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Antigua GFC

Attack 1.37 +37%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mixco vs Antigua GFC: result vs prediction

Mixco 3 – 1 Antigua GFC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Mixco vs Antigua GFC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mixco 40.1% 2.50 +5.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.6% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.3% 1.44 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.6% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mixco40.1%
Draw26.9%
Antigua GFC33.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.6%
Under 2.531.4%
Both teams to scoreYes69.3%
No30.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.0%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)59.9%
Handicap -1Mixco win25.2%
Push (exactly one goal)19.2%
Loss55.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.9%
2-18.7%
1-27.3%

Mixco vs Antigua GFC stats

Mixco and Antigua GFC recent form

newest first
Mixco LWLDLW
Antigua GFC LWWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mixco and Antigua GFC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mixco record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

Antigua GFC record

  • They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Mixco vs Antigua GFC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Mixco wins 1Draws 5Antigua GFC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-28MixcoAntigua GFCGuatemala Liga Nacional2-1
2026-02-09Antigua GFCMixcoGuatemala Liga Nacional1-2
2025-11-01MixcoAntigua GFCGuatemala Liga Nacional0-1
2025-08-23Antigua GFCMixcoGuatemala Liga Nacional2-1
2025-04-24MixcoAntigua GFCLiga Nacional2-1
2025-03-17Antigua GFCMixcoLiga Nacional1-1
2024-11-07Antigua GFCMixcoLiga Nacional3-0
2024-05-05Antigua GFCMixcoLiga Nacional1-0
2024-05-01MixcoAntigua GFCLiga Nacional1-0
2024-02-22Antigua GFCMixcoLiga Nacional2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mixco vs Antigua GFC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.6%, draw 28.0%, away 33.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.27 3.35 2.61
Bet365 2.15 3.20 2.90
BetVictor 2.38 3.40 2.63
Betano 2.40 3.05 2.90
Betfair 2.30 3.25 2.70
Marathonbet 2.27 3.35 2.61
Pinnacle 2.48 2.97 2.84
William Hill 2.40 3.00 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.34 ▲ +0.07
X 3.23 ▲ +0.04
2 2.70 ▼ -0.10

8 snapshots recorded, from .