Guastatoya
vs
Deportivo San Pedro
2 – 1 Full time
| 54′ | L. Martinez | ||
| 89′ | V. Avalos | ||
| 90′ | C. Alvarado |
Guastatoya vs Deportivo San Pedro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Guastatoya vs Deportivo San Pedro
| Probability | Guastatoya | Draw | Deportivo San Pedro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.7% | 29.9% | 19.4% |
| Market | 60.6% | 25.3% | 14.1% |
| Final | 58.1% | 26.4% | 15.4% |
| Edge | -9.9% | +4.6% | +5.2% |
Why Guastatoya
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Guastatoya and Deportivo San Pedro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
Guastatoya and Deportivo San Pedro attack and defence ratings
Guastatoya
Deportivo San Pedro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Guastatoya vs Deportivo San Pedro: result vs prediction
Guastatoya 2 – 1 Deportivo San Pedro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Guastatoya vs Deportivo San Pedro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guastatoya | 58.1% | 1.72 | -9.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guastatoya | 58.1% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 15.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.8% |
| No | 58.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Guastatoya win | 25.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 49.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.7% |
| 1-1 | 13.5% | |
| 0-0 | 12.6% |
Guastatoya vs Deportivo San Pedro stats
Guastatoya and Deportivo San Pedro recent form
| Guastatoya |
WWDWLL |
| Deportivo San Pedro |
DDWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Guastatoya and Deportivo San Pedro going into this match
Guastatoya record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo San Pedro record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Guastatoya vs Deportivo San Pedro head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Guastatoya vs Deportivo San Pedro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.6%, draw 25.3%, away 14.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 3.68 | 6.77 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.60 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 3.75 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 3.68 | 6.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 3.60 | 6.46 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.40 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .