Municipal
vs
Suchitepéquez
3 – 0 Full time
| 13′ | J. Mendez | ||
| 18′ | R. Barrientos | ||
| 46′ | J. CorenaC. Artola | ||
| 63′ | M. IcuteM. Gomez | ||
| 63′ | A. ZamoranoA. Galindo | ||
| 72′ | C. HernandezP. Altan | ||
| 72′ | E. de LeonD. Herrera | ||
| 75′ | D. Herrera | ||
| 79′ | C. Aguilar | ||
| 80′ | E. LopezC. Archila | ||
| 80′ | J. MartinezJ. Bantes | ||
| 86′ | C. Artola | ||
| 90′ | R. SaraviaP. Arias | ||
| 90′ | C. RaymundoD. Cuque | ||
| 90′ | J. Mendez |
Municipal vs Suchitepéquez overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Municipal vs Suchitepéquez
| Probability | Municipal | Draw | Suchitepéquez |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 86.4% | 10.3% | 3.3% |
| Market | 76.5% | 16.0% | 7.5% |
| Final | 79.0% | 14.6% | 6.4% |
| Edge | +9.9% | -5.7% | -4.2% |
Why Municipal
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.06 vs 0.53.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Municipal below the model: +9.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Municipal and Suchitepéquez expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.58
Municipal and Suchitepéquez attack and defence ratings
Municipal
Suchitepéquez
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Municipal vs Suchitepéquez: result vs prediction
Municipal 3 – 0 Suchitepéquez
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Municipal vs Suchitepéquez markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal | 79.0% | 1.27 | +9.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal win | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal | 79.0% |
| Draw | 14.6% | |
| Suchitepéquez | 6.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.5% |
| No | 60.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 21.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal win | 69.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.0% | |
| Loss | 13.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 13.2% |
| 2-0 | 13.0% | |
| 4-0 | 10.1% |
Municipal vs Suchitepéquez stats
Municipal and Suchitepéquez recent form
| Municipal |
DWDWWL |
| Suchitepéquez |
DLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Municipal and Suchitepéquez going into this match
Municipal record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Suchitepéquez record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Municipal vs Suchitepéquez head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-04-22 | Suchitepéquez | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2018-02-25 | Municipal | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2017-11-26 | Municipal | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2017-09-24 | Suchitepéquez | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2017-05-20 | Municipal | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2017-05-17 | Suchitepéquez | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2017-03-12 | Municipal | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2017-01-15 | Suchitepéquez | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2016-11-20 | Suchitepéquez | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 2-3 |
| 2016-09-11 | Municipal | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Municipal vs Suchitepéquez odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 76.5%, draw 16.0%, away 7.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.17 | 5.50 | 14.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 5.75 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 5.75 | 11.50 |
| Betano | 1.21 | 5.80 | 11.00 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.16 | 5.50 | 13.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21 | 5.83 | 10.73 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 5.00 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .