Cobán Imperial
vs
Marquense
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cobán Imperial
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.99.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Cobán Imperial is the favourite, not a value bet.
Cobán Imperial vs Marquense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cobán Imperial vs Marquense
| Probability | Cobán Imperial | Draw | Marquense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.0% | 27.9% | 23.0% |
| Market | 58.3% | 24.1% | 17.6% |
| Final | 56.0% | 25.1% | 18.9% |
| Edge | -2.3% | +1.0% | +1.4% |
Why Cobán Imperial
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.99.
Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.1% per unit staked (our 56.0% × 1.57 − 1).
Cobán Imperial vs Marquense match preview
Cobán Imperial faces Marquense in a matchup where the model gives Cobán a 49% chance of winning, while Marquense has a 23% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Cobán Imperial, with an 11% likelihood. Expected goals suggest Cobán Imperial will score 1.54, compared to Marquense's 0.99, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
Recent form shows Cobán Imperial with a mixed record of L-W-L-W-W-D, while Marquense has been more consistent with W-D-D-W-W-L. In their last five encounters, Marquense leads with three wins to Cobán Imperial's two. With a confidence grade of C, this match presents an intriguing contest between the two teams.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cobán Imperial and Marquense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Cobán Imperial and Marquense attack and defence ratings
Cobán Imperial
Marquense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cobán Imperial vs Marquense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cobán Imperial | 56.0% | 1.79 | -2.3% | 1.57 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cobán Imperial | 56.0% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Marquense | 18.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.7% |
| No | 49.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cobán Imperial win | 25.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 51.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 2-0 | 9.5% |
Cobán Imperial vs Marquense stats
Cobán Imperial and Marquense recent form
| Cobán Imperial |
LWLWWD |
| Marquense |
WDDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cobán Imperial and Marquense season so far
Cobán Imperial record
- They have won 4 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
Marquense record
- They have won 7 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Cobán Imperial vs Marquense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Marquense | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Marquense | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2026-01-27 | Cobán Imperial | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Cobán Imperial | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-11 | Marquense | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Cobán Imperial | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2025-02-07 | Marquense | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-07 | Marquense | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2018-03-12 | Marquense | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2018-01-14 | Cobán Imperial | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cobán Imperial vs Marquense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.3%, draw 24.1%, away 17.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 3.64 | 5.18 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.90 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 3.85 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.55 | 3.95 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 3.64 | 5.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 3.77 | 5.26 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.70 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .