Guatemala Liga Nacional · ·Matchday 17

Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez

Garuda Lions Prediction: Cobán Imperial

2 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.77 vs 0.98.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Estadio Verapaz

Cobán Imperial 74%
Draw 16%
Suchitepéquez 10%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Cobán Imperial wins
74%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
59%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
9% of simulated outcomes

Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCobán ImperialDrawSuchitepéquez
Model74.0%15.9%10.0%
Market———
Final74.0%15.9%10.0%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Cobán Imperial

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.77 vs 0.98.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez match preview

Cobán Imperial is favored to win against Suchitepéquez with a 74% probability, reflecting their stronger recent form, which includes two wins in their last three matches. In contrast, Suchitepéquez has struggled, recording four losses and two draws in their last six games. The expected goals indicate a significant advantage for Cobán Imperial, with an expected total of 2.77 compared to Suchitepéquez's 0.98.

The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with a 9% likelihood. Additionally, there is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and a 59% probability that both teams will find the net. Historically, in their last ten encounters, Cobán Imperial has secured five wins, while Suchitepéquez has achieved four victories.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cobán Imperial ↓ / Suchitepéquez → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 7% 2 9% 9% 3 8% 8% 4+ 11% 11%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

Cobán Imperial and Suchitepéquez expected goals

Cobán Imperial 2.77
Suchitepéquez 0.98

Total expected goals: 3.75

Cobán Imperial and Suchitepéquez attack and defence ratings

Cobán Imperial

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Suchitepéquez

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.57 +57%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 17 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cobán Imperial 74.0% 1.35 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 72.3% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.2% 1.69 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 90.0% 1.11 — —
Handicap -1 Cobán Imperial win 54.3% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cobán Imperial74.0%
Draw15.9%
Suchitepéquez10.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572.3%
Under 2.527.7%
Both teams to scoreYes59.2%
No40.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)90.0%
12 (either side)84.1%
X2 (draw or away)26.0%
Handicap -1Cobán Imperial win54.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss26.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-09.0%
2-18.8%
3-08.3%

Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez stats

Cobán Imperial and Suchitepéquez recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cobán Imperial and Suchitepéquez season so far

league record

Cobán Imperial record

  • They have won 4 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.

Suchitepéquez record

  • They have won 1 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 15 matches.

Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Cobán Imperial wins 1Draws 4Suchitepéquez wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-29SuchitepéquezCobán ImperialGuatemala Liga Nacional3-2
2018-04-29SuchitepéquezCobán ImperialLiga Nacional1-0
2018-03-04Cobán ImperialSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional4-2
2017-10-22Cobán ImperialSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional2-1
2017-08-20SuchitepéquezCobán ImperialLiga Nacional2-2
2017-04-23SuchitepéquezCobán ImperialLiga Nacional2-1
2017-02-19Cobán ImperialSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional3-0
2016-10-23Cobán ImperialSuchitepéquezLiga Nacional5-0
2016-07-31SuchitepéquezCobán ImperialLiga Nacional1-2
2016-03-20SuchitepéquezCobán ImperialLiga Nacional3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Cobán Imperial Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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