Cobán Imperial
vs
Suchitepéquez
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cobán Imperial
2 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.77 vs 0.98.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez
| Probability | Cobán Imperial | Draw | Suchitepéquez |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.0% | 15.9% | 10.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 74.0% | 15.9% | 10.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Cobán Imperial
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.77 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez match preview
Cobán Imperial is favored to win against Suchitepéquez with a 74% probability, reflecting their stronger recent form, which includes two wins in their last three matches. In contrast, Suchitepéquez has struggled, recording four losses and two draws in their last six games. The expected goals indicate a significant advantage for Cobán Imperial, with an expected total of 2.77 compared to Suchitepéquez's 0.98.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with a 9% likelihood. Additionally, there is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and a 59% probability that both teams will find the net. Historically, in their last ten encounters, Cobán Imperial has secured five wins, while Suchitepéquez has achieved four victories.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cobán Imperial and Suchitepéquez expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.75
Cobán Imperial and Suchitepéquez attack and defence ratings
Cobán Imperial
Suchitepéquez
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 17 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cobán Imperial | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Cobán Imperial win | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cobán Imperial | 74.0% |
| Draw | 15.9% | |
| Suchitepéquez | 10.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.2% |
| No | 40.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cobán Imperial win | 54.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 26.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 9.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 3-0 | 8.3% |
Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez stats
Cobán Imperial and Suchitepéquez recent form
| LWLWWD | |
| LDDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cobán Imperial and Suchitepéquez season so far
Cobán Imperial record
- They have won 4 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
Suchitepéquez record
- They have won 1 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 15 matches.
Cobán Imperial vs Suchitepéquez head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Suchitepéquez | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2018-04-29 | Suchitepéquez | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2018-03-04 | Cobán Imperial | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 4-2 |
| 2017-10-22 | Cobán Imperial | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2017-08-20 | Suchitepéquez | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2017-04-23 | Suchitepéquez | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2017-02-19 | Cobán Imperial | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2016-10-23 | Cobán Imperial | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 5-0 |
| 2016-07-31 | Suchitepéquez | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2016-03-20 | Suchitepéquez | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.