Municipal
vs
Comunicaciones
Garuda Lions Prediction: Municipal
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.62.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Municipal vs Comunicaciones overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Municipal vs Comunicaciones
| Probability | Municipal | Draw | Comunicaciones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.9% | 28.1% | 14.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.9% | 28.1% | 14.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Municipal
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.62.
Municipal vs Comunicaciones match preview
Municipal faces Comunicaciones in an upcoming match in the Guatemala Liga Nacional. According to our model, Municipal has a 66% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 23% and Comunicaciones at 10%. The expected goals suggest Municipal is likely to score 1.84, compared to Comunicaciones' 0.59. The most probable scoreline is 1-0, occurring with a 15% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Municipal has recorded a series of draws and one win in their last six matches (D-D-L-D-D-W), while Comunicaciones has struggled with three losses, one win, and another loss in their last six outings (L-L-L-W-W-L). The head-to-head record in the last five encounters shows Municipal with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 win for Comunicaciones, indicating a competitive rivalry.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Municipal and Comunicaciones expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.13
Municipal and Comunicaciones attack and defence ratings
Municipal
Comunicaciones
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 17 fixtures
Before and after this match
Municipal vs Comunicaciones markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal | 57.9% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Comunicaciones | 14.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.2% |
| No | 62.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal win | 31.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.6% | |
| Loss | 42.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.8% |
| 2-0 | 13.5% | |
| 0-0 | 13.0% |
Municipal vs Comunicaciones stats
Municipal and Comunicaciones recent form
| Municipal |
LDDLDD |
| Comunicaciones |
WLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Municipal and Comunicaciones season so far
Municipal record
- They have won 7 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Comunicaciones record
- They have won 4 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Municipal vs Comunicaciones head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Comunicaciones | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Municipal | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Comunicaciones | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Comunicaciones | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Municipal | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.