Deportivo San Pedro
vs
Municipal
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo San Pedro
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.83.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Deportivo San Pedro vs Municipal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo San Pedro vs Municipal
| Probability | Deportivo San Pedro | Draw | Municipal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.5% | 32.5% | 24.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.5% | 32.5% | 24.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Deportivo San Pedro
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Deportivo San Pedro vs Municipal match preview
Deportivo San Pedro faces Municipal in the Guatemala Liga Nacional with a probability of 43% for a home win, while a draw stands at 32% and an away win for Municipal at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 15% chance of occurring. Expected goals for Deportivo San Pedro are 1.20, compared to 0.83 for Municipal, indicating a slight advantage for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Deportivo San Pedro has recorded a mixed bag of results with a sequence of draws and losses, while Municipal has struggled, with their last six matches yielding only two draws. The head-to-head record shows no wins for either side in their last encounter, which ended in a draw. Overall, the confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo San Pedro and Municipal expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.03
Deportivo San Pedro and Municipal attack and defence ratings
Deportivo San Pedro
Municipal
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo San Pedro vs Municipal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo San Pedro | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo San Pedro | 43.5% |
| Draw | 32.5% | |
| Municipal | 24.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.6% |
| No | 59.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo San Pedro win | 19.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 56.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 14.5% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
Deportivo San Pedro vs Municipal stats
Deportivo San Pedro and Municipal recent form
| Deportivo San Pedro |
DLDWLL |
| Municipal |
LDDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo San Pedro and Municipal season so far
Deportivo San Pedro record
- They have won 6 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches.
Municipal record
- They have won 7 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 16 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Deportivo San Pedro vs Municipal head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Municipal | Deportivo San Pedro | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.