Malacateco
vs
Municipal
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 20% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Malacateco vs Municipal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Malacateco vs Municipal
| Probability | Malacateco | Draw | Municipal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.2% | 37.1% | 28.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.2% | 37.1% | 28.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Malacateco vs Municipal match preview
In the upcoming match between Malacateco and Municipal, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with Malacateco at 34%, a draw at 37%, and Municipal at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-0, occurring with a 20% probability. Expected goals for Malacateco stand at 0.88, while Municipal is projected at 0.78, suggesting a low-scoring affair.
Recent form shows Malacateco struggling with three losses in their last five matches, alongside a draw and a win. Municipal's form is mixed, with two losses, a win, and two draws in their last five games. Historically, Municipal has dominated their recent encounters, winning 7 out of the last 10 meetings, while Malacateco has only managed 1 win and 2 draws in that span.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Malacateco and Municipal expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.66
Malacateco and Municipal attack and defence ratings
Malacateco
Municipal
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Malacateco vs Municipal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malacateco | 34.2% |
| Draw | 37.1% | |
| Municipal | 28.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.1% |
| No | 66.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Malacateco win | 12.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 65.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.3% |
| 1-0 | 15.4% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
Malacateco vs Municipal stats
Malacateco and Municipal recent form
| Malacateco |
LLLDWL |
| Municipal |
LWLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Malacateco and Municipal season so far
Malacateco record
- They have won 5 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 19 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Municipal record
- They have won 8 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 18 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Malacateco vs Municipal head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Municipal | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Municipal | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Malacateco | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Municipal | Malacateco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 4-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Malacateco | Municipal | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-3 |
| 2025-04-06 | Malacateco | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-01 | Municipal | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 4-2 |
| 2024-10-27 | Malacateco | Municipal | Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2024-08-11 | Municipal | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-28 | Municipal | Malacateco | Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.