Guatemala Liga Nacional · ·Matchday 20

Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial

Garuda Lions Prediction: Comunicaciones

2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.02.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Comunicaciones is the favourite, not a value bet.

Estadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores, Guatemala City

Comunicaciones 54%
Draw 25%
Cobán Imperial 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Comunicaciones wins
54%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
56%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityComunicacionesDrawCobán Imperial
Model57.2%24.1%18.7%
Market53.5%25.7%20.8%
Final54.5%25.3%20.3%
Edge+0.9%-0.4%-0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Comunicaciones

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.02.

Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.7% per unit staked (our 54.5% × 1.75 − 1).

Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial match preview

Comunicaciones faces Cobán Imperial in a matchup where the model gives Comunicaciones a 54% chance of winning, while Cobán Imperial has a 20% probability of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Comunicaciones, with both teams expected to score at a rate of 56%. Expected goals for Comunicaciones stand at 1.92, compared to 1.02 for Cobán Imperial.

In terms of recent form, Comunicaciones has recorded two wins followed by three mixed results, while Cobán Imperial has shown a more consistent performance with four wins in their last six matches. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters is evenly matched, with both teams securing four wins each and two draws. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Comunicaciones ↓ / Cobán Imperial → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 11% 2 10% 10% 3 6% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Comunicaciones and Cobán Imperial expected goals

Comunicaciones 1.92
Cobán Imperial 1.02

Total expected goals: 2.94

Comunicaciones and Cobán Imperial attack and defence ratings

Comunicaciones

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Cobán Imperial

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 20 fixtures

Guatemala Liga Nacional

Before and after this match

Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Comunicaciones 54.5% 1.84 +0.9% 1.75
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.3% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.6% 1.80 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.7% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.8% 2.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Comunicaciones54.5%
Draw25.3%
Cobán Imperial20.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.3%
Under 2.543.7%
Both teams to scoreYes55.6%
No44.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.7%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)45.5%
Handicap -1Comunicaciones win34.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss42.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
2-19.9%
2-09.7%

Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial stats

Comunicaciones and Cobán Imperial recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Comunicaciones and Cobán Imperial season so far

league record

Comunicaciones record

  • They have won 7 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 19 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cobán Imperial record

  • They have won 7 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 19 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Comunicaciones wins 2Draws 4Cobán Imperial wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-13Cobán ImperialComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional2-2
2026-03-15Cobán ImperialComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional2-0
2026-01-25ComunicacionesCobán ImperialGuatemala Liga Nacional2-3
2025-11-08ComunicacionesCobán ImperialGuatemala Liga Nacional1-0
2025-09-03Cobán ImperialComunicacionesGuatemala Liga Nacional3-1
2025-04-06ComunicacionesCobán ImperialLiga Nacional3-2
2025-02-02Cobán ImperialComunicacionesLiga Nacional0-0
2024-11-30Cobán ImperialComunicacionesLiga Nacional2-1
2024-11-28ComunicacionesCobán ImperialLiga Nacional1-0
2024-11-21ComunicacionesCobán ImperialLiga Nacional4-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.5%, draw 25.7%, away 20.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.68 3.46 4.45
Bet365 1.67 3.50 4.33
BetVictor 1.67 3.60 4.50
Betano 1.75 3.40 4.40
Betfair 1.67 3.60 4.33
Dafabet 1.75 3.50 4.50
Marathonbet 1.66 3.46 4.33
Pinnacle 1.75 3.55 4.33
William Hill 1.75 3.30 4.33

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.68 ▲ +0.06
X 3.50 ▼ -0.05
2 4.33 ▼ -0.45

6 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Comunicaciones Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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