Suchitepéquez
vs
Antigua GFC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Antigua GFC
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.26.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Suchitepéquez vs Antigua GFC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Suchitepéquez vs Antigua GFC
| Probability | Suchitepéquez | Draw | Antigua GFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.3% | 27.1% | 43.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.3% | 27.1% | 43.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Antigua GFC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.26.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Suchitepéquez vs Antigua GFC match preview
Suchitepéquez faces Antigua GFC in a matchup where the probabilities suggest a competitive contest, with Antigua GFC holding a 43% chance of victory compared to Suchitepéquez's 29%. The recent form indicates that Antigua GFC is in stronger shape, having won three of their last five matches, while Suchitepéquez has only one win in their last five outings.
The expected goals model predicts Suchitepéquez to score 1.26 and Antigua GFC to net 1.57, aligning with the most likely scoreline of 1-2, which has a 9% probability. Additionally, there is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% likelihood that both teams will score, highlighting the potential for an engaging match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Suchitepéquez and Antigua GFC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.83
Suchitepéquez and Antigua GFC attack and defence ratings
Suchitepéquez
Antigua GFC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Suchitepéquez vs Antigua GFC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antigua GFC | 43.6% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Suchitepéquez | 29.3% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Antigua GFC | 43.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% |
| No | 42.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Antigua GFC win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 56.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 8.1% |
Suchitepéquez vs Antigua GFC stats
Suchitepéquez and Antigua GFC recent form
| Suchitepéquez |
LWLDLD |
| Antigua GFC |
WWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Suchitepéquez and Antigua GFC season so far
Suchitepéquez record
- They have won 2 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 19 matches.
Antigua GFC record
- They have won 12 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Suchitepéquez vs Antigua GFC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Antigua GFC | Suchitepéquez | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2018-04-19 | Antigua GFC | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 2-3 |
| 2018-02-18 | Suchitepéquez | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2017-10-08 | Antigua GFC | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 5-0 |
| 2017-08-05 | Suchitepéquez | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2017-03-29 | Antigua GFC | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2017-02-01 | Suchitepéquez | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 1-3 |
| 2016-10-12 | Suchitepéquez | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 2-4 |
| 2016-07-27 | Antigua GFC | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2016-05-01 | Suchitepéquez | Antigua GFC | Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.