Deportivo San Pedro
vs
Marquense
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo San Pedro
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.66.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense
| Probability | Deportivo San Pedro | Draw | Marquense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.3% | 29.0% | 15.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.3% | 29.0% | 15.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Deportivo San Pedro
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.66.
Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense match preview
Deportivo San Pedro faces Marquense in their upcoming match with a probability model indicating a 55% chance of a home victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, occurring at a rate of 16%. Deportivo San Pedro's expected goals stand at 1.46, while Marquense's expected goals are significantly lower at 0.65.
Recent form shows Deportivo San Pedro with a record of L-W-L-D-L-D, while Marquense has struggled with L-L-D-L-W-D. In their last head-to-head encounter, there were no wins for either team, resulting in 1 draw. The model also suggests a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% likelihood for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo San Pedro and Marquense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.11
Deportivo San Pedro and Marquense attack and defence ratings
Deportivo San Pedro
Marquense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 20 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo San Pedro | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo San Pedro | 55.3% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Marquense | 15.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.1% |
| No | 61.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo San Pedro win | 29.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.3% | |
| Loss | 44.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.5% |
| 0-0 | 13.3% | |
| 2-0 | 12.8% |
Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense stats
Deportivo San Pedro and Marquense recent form
| Deportivo San Pedro |
LWLDLD |
| Marquense |
LLDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo San Pedro and Marquense season so far
Deportivo San Pedro record
- They have won 7 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
Marquense record
- They have won 7 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Marquense | Deportivo San Pedro | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.