Marquense
vs
Comunicaciones
Garuda Lions Prediction: Marquense
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.92.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Marquense is the favourite, not a value bet.
Marquense vs Comunicaciones overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Marquense vs Comunicaciones
| Probability | Marquense | Draw | Comunicaciones |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.7% | 28.5% | 21.8% |
| Market | 48.0% | 28.7% | 23.4% |
| Final | 48.4% | 28.6% | 23.0% |
| Edge | +0.4% | -0.0% | -0.4% |
Why Marquense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.92.
Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.6% per unit staked (our 48.4% × 1.93 − 1).
Marquense vs Comunicaciones match preview
Marquense enters the match against Comunicaciones with a 59% probability of winning, reflecting their recent form of D-L-W-D-D-W. The expected goals for Marquense stand at 1.71, while Comunicaciones is projected to score 0.74 goals. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring with a 14% probability.
In their last 10 encounters, Marquense has secured 5 wins compared to Comunicaciones' 4 victories, indicating a competitive rivalry. Both teams have a 44% chance of scoring, suggesting a potentially balanced offensive display. Comunicaciones, however, has struggled recently, with a record of L-W-L-L-L-W in their last matches, which may impact their performance in this fixture.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Marquense and Comunicaciones expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Marquense and Comunicaciones attack and defence ratings
Marquense
Comunicaciones
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 19 fixtures
Before and after this match
Marquense vs Comunicaciones markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marquense | 48.4% | 2.07 | +0.4% | 1.93 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marquense | 48.4% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Comunicaciones | 23.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.8% |
| No | 52.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Marquense win | 26.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.2% | |
| 0-0 | 10.1% |
Marquense vs Comunicaciones stats
Marquense and Comunicaciones recent form
| Marquense |
LDLWDD |
| Comunicaciones |
WLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Marquense and Comunicaciones season so far
Marquense record
- They have won 7 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 18 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Comunicaciones record
- They have won 6 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 18 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Marquense vs Comunicaciones head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Comunicaciones | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2026-03-30 | Marquense | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Comunicaciones | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Marquense | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Comunicaciones | Marquense | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-05 | Comunicaciones | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-01 | Marquense | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-03 | Marquense | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-30 | Comunicaciones | Marquense | Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-22 | Marquense | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Marquense vs Comunicaciones odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 28.7%, away 23.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.12 | 3.85 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.25 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.91 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.16 | 4.02 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .