Mixco
vs
Deportivo San Pedro
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mixco
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.86.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Mixco is the favourite, not a value bet.
Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro
| Probability | Mixco | Draw | Deportivo San Pedro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.9% | 23.3% | 14.8% |
| Market | 63.4% | 22.8% | 13.8% |
| Final | 63.0% | 22.9% | 14.1% |
| Edge | -0.4% | +0.1% | +0.3% |
Why Mixco
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.86.
Best available price on the pick: 1.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.5% per unit staked (our 63.0% × 1.50 − 1).
Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro match preview
Mixco faces Deportivo San Pedro in a matchup where the probabilities favor Mixco at 63%, with a likelihood of a draw at 23% and Deportivo San Pedro at 14%. The expected goals indicate a strong performance from Mixco, projected at 1.95, compared to Deportivo San Pedro's 0.86. Our model suggests a most likely scoreline of 2-0, occurring with an 11% probability, while there is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Mixco has recorded results of L-D-W-D-W-D, while Deportivo San Pedro has a mixed record of W-L-D-L-D-W. Historically, in their last encounter, Mixco has not secured a win against Deportivo San Pedro, who has won once. The confidence grade for this analysis stands at C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mixco and Deportivo San Pedro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Mixco and Deportivo San Pedro attack and defence ratings
Mixco
Deportivo San Pedro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 19 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mixco | 63.0% | 1.59 | -0.4% | 1.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mixco | 63.0% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 14.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% |
| No | 49.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mixco win | 38.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 38.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.5% |
| 1-1 | 11.1% | |
| 1-0 | 10.8% |
Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro stats
Mixco and Deportivo San Pedro recent form
| Mixco |
LDWDWD |
| Deportivo San Pedro |
WLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mixco and Deportivo San Pedro season so far
Mixco record
- They have won 7 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 18 matches.
Deportivo San Pedro record
- They have won 7 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 18 matches.
Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Deportivo San Pedro | Mixco | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mixco vs Deportivo San Pedro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.4%, draw 22.8%, away 13.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.41 | 3.94 | 6.86 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.45 | 4.05 | 6.60 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.45 | 4.10 | 6.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 3.94 | 6.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 4.05 | 6.96 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.75 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .