Aurora
vs
Antigua GFC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Aurora
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.20.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Aurora vs Antigua GFC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aurora vs Antigua GFC
| Probability | Aurora | Draw | Antigua GFC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.8% | 21.1% | 18.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 60.8% | 21.1% | 18.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Aurora
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Aurora vs Antigua GFC match preview
Aurora faces Antigua GFC in an upcoming match in the Guatemala Liga Nacional, with Aurora holding a 61% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Aurora stand at 2.28, while Antigua GFC is projected to score 1.20, suggesting a competitive encounter. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Aurora, which aligns with a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring.
In terms of recent form, Aurora has recorded a mixed set of results with a sequence of draws and wins, while Antigua GFC has experienced a similar inconsistency. The head-to-head record over the last 10 matches shows a slight edge for Antigua GFC with 5 wins compared to Aurora's 4, alongside 1 draw. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aurora and Antigua GFC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.48
Aurora and Antigua GFC attack and defence ratings
Aurora
Antigua GFC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aurora vs Antigua GFC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aurora | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Aurora win | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aurora | 60.8% |
| Draw | 21.1% | |
| Antigua GFC | 18.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% |
| No | 36.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aurora win | 39.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 39.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.6% |
| 1-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Aurora vs Antigua GFC stats
Aurora and Antigua GFC recent form
| Aurora |
DWWWLL |
| Antigua GFC |
LWDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aurora and Antigua GFC season so far
Aurora record
- They have won 7 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Antigua GFC record
- They have won 9 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Aurora vs Antigua GFC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Antigua GFC | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Aurora | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-19 | Antigua GFC | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-18 | Antigua GFC | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 4-2 |
| 2025-12-14 | Aurora | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Antigua GFC | Aurora | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Aurora | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2013-03-09 | Aurora | Antigua GFC | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2013-01-13 | Antigua GFC | Aurora | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2012-11-18 | Aurora | Antigua GFC | Primera Division | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.