Guastatoya
vs
Cobán Imperial
Garuda Lions Prediction: Guastatoya
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.14.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial
| Probability | Guastatoya | Draw | Cobán Imperial |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.7% | 23.7% | 20.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.7% | 23.7% | 20.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Guastatoya
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.14.
Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial match preview
Guastatoya enters the match against Cobán Imperial with a 56% probability of winning, while Cobán Imperial has a 21% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Guastatoya, with an overall expectation of 1.97 goals for Guastatoya and 1.14 for Cobán Imperial. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 60%, and both teams scoring is projected at 59%.
In terms of recent form, Guastatoya has recorded two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five matches. Conversely, Cobán Imperial has been more successful, achieving four wins and one loss in the same timeframe. Historically, in their last ten encounters, Guastatoya has won four times, while Cobán Imperial has secured three victories, with three matches ending in a draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Guastatoya and Cobán Imperial expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
Guastatoya and Cobán Imperial attack and defence ratings
Guastatoya
Cobán Imperial
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guastatoya | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guastatoya | 55.7% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Cobán Imperial | 20.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% |
| No | 40.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Guastatoya win | 33.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 44.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 8.7% |
Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial stats
Guastatoya and Cobán Imperial recent form
| Guastatoya |
LDDLWW |
| Cobán Imperial |
WLWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Guastatoya and Cobán Imperial season so far
Guastatoya record
- They have won 8 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cobán Imperial record
- They have won 4 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
Guastatoya vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Cobán Imperial | Guastatoya | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Cobán Imperial | Guastatoya | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Guastatoya | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Cobán Imperial | Guastatoya | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-27 | Guastatoya | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-02 | Cobán Imperial | Guastatoya | Liga Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-30 | Guastatoya | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Guastatoya | Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-31 | Cobán Imperial | Guastatoya | Liga Nacional | 3-0 |
| 2024-04-21 | Cobán Imperial | Guastatoya | Liga Nacional | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.