Antigua GFC
vs
Deportivo San Pedro
Garuda Lions Prediction: Antigua GFC
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 0.82.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro
| Probability | Antigua GFC | Draw | Deportivo San Pedro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.7% | 22.7% | 13.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 63.7% | 22.7% | 13.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Antigua GFC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro match preview
Antigua GFC enters this match with a 69% probability of winning against Deportivo San Pedro, who has a 12% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, with a 12% likelihood. Antigua GFC's expected goals stand at 2.25, while Deportivo San Pedro's is significantly lower at 0.83. The model also suggests a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Antigua GFC has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six matches. Conversely, Deportivo San Pedro has struggled, with one win, two draws, and three losses in the same timeframe. In their last encounter, Deportivo San Pedro emerged victorious, marking one win in their head-to-head history.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Antigua GFC and Deportivo San Pedro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Antigua GFC and Deportivo San Pedro attack and defence ratings
Antigua GFC
Deportivo San Pedro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 17 fixtures
Before and after this match
Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antigua GFC | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Antigua GFC win | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antigua GFC | 63.7% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 13.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.2% |
| No | 50.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Antigua GFC win | 39.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 36.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 1-1 | 10.8% |
Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro stats
Antigua GFC and Deportivo San Pedro recent form
| Antigua GFC |
LWDWDL |
| Deportivo San Pedro |
LDWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Antigua GFC and Deportivo San Pedro season so far
Antigua GFC record
- They have won 9 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Deportivo San Pedro record
- They have won 6 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches.
Antigua GFC vs Deportivo San Pedro head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deportivo San Pedro | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional | 4-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.