KA Akureyri
vs
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Garuda Lions Prediction: KA Akureyri
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.25.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — KA Akureyri is the favourite, not a value bet.
KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
| Probability | KA Akureyri | Draw | IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.6% | 25.2% | 25.3% |
| Market | 60.2% | 20.8% | 19.1% |
| Final | 57.5% | 21.9% | 20.6% |
| Edge | -2.7% | +1.1% | +1.6% |
Why KA Akureyri
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.58, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.1% per unit staked (our 57.5% × 1.58 − 1).
KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar match preview
KA Akureyri enters this match with a 50% probability of winning, while IBV Vestmannaeyjar has a 25% chance, along with the draw also at 25%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of KA Akureyri, with an expected goals tally of 1.82 for KA Akureyri and 1.25 for IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
In terms of recent form, KA Akureyri has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Conversely, IBV Vestmannaeyjar has struggled, managing only one win and four draws in their recent outings. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 59%, and both teams scoring is expected at 61%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
KA Akureyri and IBV Vestmannaeyjar expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.06
KA Akureyri and IBV Vestmannaeyjar attack and defence ratings
KA Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Relegation Group - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KA Akureyri | 57.5% | 1.74 | -2.7% | 1.58 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KA Akureyri | 57.5% |
| Draw | 21.9% | |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 20.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% |
| No | 39.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | KA Akureyri win | 28.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 50.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.7% |
KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar stats
KA Akureyri and IBV Vestmannaeyjar recent form
| KA Akureyri |
LWWLWD |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
WLDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KA Akureyri and IBV Vestmannaeyjar season so far
KA Akureyri record
- They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar record
- They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 2-2 |
| 2026-05-10 | KA Akureyri | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-25 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 3-4 |
| 2025-08-10 | KA Akureyri | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-18 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 0-0 |
| 2023-09-28 | KA Akureyri | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild | 2-1 |
| 2023-06-28 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | KA Akureyri | Úrvalsdeild | 2-0 |
| 2023-04-15 | KA Akureyri | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild | 3-0 |
| 2023-03-18 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | KA Akureyri | League Cup | 0-0 |
| 2022-07-09 | KA Akureyri | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Úrvalsdeild | 4-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.6%, draw 20.7%, away 18.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 4.65 | 5.41 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.20 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.50 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.33 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.58 | 4.40 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 4.45 | 4.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 4.57 | 5.04 |
| SBO | 1.43 | 4.11 | 4.94 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .