Úrvalsdeild · Full time ·Championship Group - 1

KR Reykjavik vs IA Akranes

5 – 1 Full time

6′G. Gudmundsson
14′S. Karason
21′G. Gudmundsson
23′A. Traustason
40′S. Ellertsson
60′O. KjartanssonA. Albertsson
66′B. BodvarssonJ. Vall
66′G. EyjolfssonS. Thorsteinsson
66′S. EllertssonR. Sigurjonsson
69′M. P. Ellertsson
71′E. Saebjornsson
72′G. GudmundssonA. Thordarson
75′M. P. EllertssonG. Saevarsson
83′H. HaraldssonG. Thorarinsson
83′L. Rae
84′E. SaebjornssonM. Kjartansson
84′L. RaeF. Heimisson
86′G. E. Gislason J.
88′A. Albertsson

Referee: G. Haflidason Oddur

KR Reykjavik 57%
Draw 18%
IA Akranes 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

KR Reykjavik vs IA Akranes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: KR Reykjavik vs IA Akranes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKR ReykjavikDrawIA Akranes
Model51.9%18.4%29.7%
Market59.3%18.5%22.1%
Final57.5%18.5%24.0%
Edge-7.4%-0.1%+7.5%

Confidence: Low

Why KR Reykjavik

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.85 vs 2.20.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

KR Reykjavik ↓ / IA Akranes → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 4% 4% 2 6% 6% 5% 3 5% 6% 4% 4+ 8% 9% 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 97%
3+ goals 88%
No goals 1%

KR Reykjavik and IA Akranes expected goals

KR Reykjavik 2.85
IA Akranes 2.20

Total expected goals: 5.04

KR Reykjavik and IA Akranes attack and defence ratings

KR Reykjavik

Attack 1.51 +51%
Defence 1.20 +20%

IA Akranes

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

KR Reykjavik vs IA Akranes: result vs prediction

KR Reykjavik 5 – 1 IA Akranes

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Championship Group - 1 fixtures

Úrvalsdeild

Before and after this match

KR Reykjavik vs IA Akranes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 KR Reykjavik 57.5% 1.74 -7.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 87.9% 1.14 — —
Both teams to score Yes 84.1% 1.19 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 81.5% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.1% 2.08 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2KR Reykjavik57.5%
Draw18.5%
IA Akranes24.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.587.9%
Under 2.512.1%
Both teams to scoreYes84.1%
No15.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.0%
12 (either side)81.5%
X2 (draw or away)42.5%
Handicap -1KR Reykjavik win34.4%
Push (exactly one goal)17.5%
Loss48.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-26.3%
3-26.0%
2-15.7%

KR Reykjavik vs IA Akranes stats

KR Reykjavik and IA Akranes recent form

newest first
KR Reykjavik LDWDWD
IA Akranes WDDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

KR Reykjavik and IA Akranes going into this match

league record before kick-off

KR Reykjavik record

  • They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 3.4 goals per match.
  • They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 3.0 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IA Akranes record

  • They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KR Reykjavik vs IA Akranes head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4KR Reykjavik wins 2Draws 4IA Akranes wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-06IA AkranesKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild3-1
2026-06-22KR ReykjavikIA AkranesÚrvalsdeild5-3
2025-09-27IA AkranesKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild3-2
2025-07-14IA AkranesKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild1-0
2025-04-27KR ReykjavikIA AkranesÚrvalsdeild5-0
2024-09-01KR ReykjavikIA AkranesÚrvalsdeild4-2
2024-06-18IA AkranesKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild2-1
2023-03-08KR ReykjavikIA AkranesLeague Cup3-1
2022-09-04IA AkranesKR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeild4-4
2022-06-15KR ReykjavikIA AkranesÚrvalsdeild3-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

KR Reykjavik vs IA Akranes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.7%, draw 18.7%, away 21.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.55 5.05 4.34
888Sport 1.50 4.60 4.33
Bet365 1.53 4.75 3.90
BetVictor 1.44 4.20 3.70
Betano 1.57 4.90 4.10
Betfair 1.44 5.00 4.60
Dafabet 1.51 5.00 4.50
Marathonbet 1.53 5.05 4.40
Pinnacle 1.54 5.53 4.39
SBO 1.50 4.46 3.92
Unibet 1.61 4.25 3.85
William Hill 1.50 4.80 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.53 ▲ +0.01
X 4.90 ▼ -0.10
2 4.10 ▼ -0.35

9 snapshots recorded, from .