Úrvalsdeild
·
Full time
·Championship Group - 1
Fram Reykjavik
vs
Breidablik
1 – 3 Full time
| 30′ | K. Chopart | ||
| 45′ | G. Hallsson | ||
| 46′ | S. TibblingFred Saraiva | ||
| 46′ | M. AegissonK. Konradsson | ||
| 49′ | R. Hauksson | ||
| 54′ | S. Runarsson | ||
| 60′ | J. ArnarssonA. Bjarnason | ||
| 61′ | V. DimitrijevicJ. Bystrom | ||
| 65′ | A. Orrason | ||
| 67′ | J. Bystrom | ||
| 69′ | T. UlfarssonK. Kristinsson | ||
| 69′ | G. HallssonH. Gunnlaugsson | ||
| 69′ | I. ArnasonV. Margeirsson | ||
| 73′ | H. AsgrimssonI. Garcia | ||
| 80′ | R. Hauksson | ||
| 80′ | T. ThorbjornssonO. Hlynsson | ||
| 87′ | A. LudvikssonV. Einarsson |
Fram Reykjavik
60%
Draw
19%
Breidablik
20%
Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik
| Probability | Fram Reykjavik | Draw | Breidablik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.8% | 17.1% | 18.1% |
| Market | 58.9% | 20.0% | 21.1% |
| Final | 60.4% | 19.3% | 20.4% |
| Edge | +5.9% | -2.8% | -3.1% |
Why Fram Reykjavik
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.94 vs 1.59.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Fram Reykjavik below the model: +5.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
95%
3+ goals
83%
No goals
2%
Fram Reykjavik and Breidablik expected goals
Fram Reykjavik
2.94
Breidablik
1.59
Total expected goals: 4.53
Fram Reykjavik and Breidablik attack and defence ratings
Fram Reykjavik
Attack
1.27 +27%
Defence
1.08 +8%
Breidablik
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik: result vs prediction
Fram Reykjavik 1 – 3 Breidablik
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Championship Group - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fram Reykjavik | 60.4% | 1.66 | +5.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Fram Reykjavik win | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fram Reykjavik | 60.4% |
| Draw | 19.3% | |
| Breidablik | 20.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.9% |
| No | 24.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fram Reykjavik win | 46.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 35.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.4% |
| 3-1 | 7.3% | |
| 2-2 | 5.9% |
Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik stats
Fram Reykjavik and Breidablik recent form
| Fram Reykjavik |
DDWWLW |
| Breidablik |
LLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fram Reykjavik and Breidablik going into this match
Fram Reykjavik record
- They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Breidablik record
- They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Fram Reykjavik wins
1Draws
5Breidablik wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Breidablik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 3-4 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fram Reykjavik | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild | 4-3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Breidablik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 3-1 |
| 2025-06-23 | Breidablik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Fram Reykjavik | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild | 4-2 |
| 2025-02-04 | Breidablik | Fram Reykjavik | League Cup | 1-3 |
| 2024-08-19 | Breidablik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-26 | Fram Reykjavik | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild | 1-4 |
| 2023-07-14 | Fram Reykjavik | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-28 | Breidablik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 5-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.7%, draw 20.0%, away 21.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 4.60 | 4.37 |
| 888Sport | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 4.33 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.90 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.60 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 4.60 | 4.33 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 4.93 | 4.54 |
| SBO | 1.48 | 4.80 | 4.54 |
| Unibet | 1.77 | 4.10 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.33 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.56 ▼ -0.23
X
4.60 ▲ +0.40
2
4.35 ▲ +0.76
14 snapshots recorded, from .