Keflavik
vs
Fram Reykjavik
2 – 2 Full time
| 41′ | F. Elvarsson | ||
| 44′ | K. McLagan | ||
| 48′ | S. Ljubicic | ||
| 52′ | R. Hauksson | ||
| 57′ | S. Runarsson | ||
| 59′ | F. Sigurdsson | ||
| 63′ | K. McLaganM. Aegisson | ||
| 63′ | F. ElvarssonM. Mudrazija | ||
| 66′ | E. Bwomono | ||
| 71′ | V. DimitrijevicK. Konradsson | ||
| 71′ | E. KarlssonA. Magnusson | ||
| 71′ | E. BwomonoA. Johannesson | ||
| 80′ | M. Mudrazija | ||
| 81′ | S. MagnussonE. Bjarnason | ||
| 81′ | Fred SaraivaI. Garcia | ||
| 81′ | T. ThorbjornssonJ. Bystrom | ||
| 90′ | M. Simicic |
Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik
| Probability | Keflavik | Draw | Fram Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.9% | 22.3% | 38.8% |
| Market | 27.0% | 23.0% | 50.0% |
| Final | 30.0% | 22.8% | 47.2% |
| Edge | +11.9% | -0.7% | -11.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Keflavik and Fram Reykjavik expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.97
Keflavik and Fram Reykjavik attack and defence ratings
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik: result vs prediction
Keflavik 2 – 2 Fram Reykjavik
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Championship Group - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fram Reykjavik | 47.2% | 2.12 | -11.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Keflavik | 30.0% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Fram Reykjavik | 47.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.2% |
| No | 24.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fram Reykjavik win | 21.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.2% | |
| Loss | 61.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.2% |
| 2-1 | 7.4% | |
| 1-2 | 7.4% |
Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik stats
Keflavik and Fram Reykjavik recent form
| Keflavik |
LLLWWL |
| Fram Reykjavik |
LDDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Keflavik and Fram Reykjavik going into this match
Keflavik record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
Fram Reykjavik record
- They have won 13 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Keflavik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Fram Reykjavik | Keflavik | Úrvalsdeild | 3-1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Keflavik | Fram Reykjavik | League Cup | 4-3 |
| 2023-09-28 | Fram Reykjavik | Keflavik | Úrvalsdeild | 3-1 |
| 2023-08-27 | Keflavik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 0-0 |
| 2023-06-02 | Fram Reykjavik | Keflavik | Úrvalsdeild | 4-1 |
| 2022-10-29 | Keflavik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 4-0 |
| 2022-09-17 | Fram Reykjavik | Keflavik | Úrvalsdeild | 4-8 |
| 2022-07-03 | Keflavik | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.0%, draw 23.0%, away 50.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.46 | 4.05 | 1.84 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.50 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 3.40 | 3.95 | 1.88 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 3.45 | 4.05 | 1.82 |
| Pinnacle | 3.61 | 4.30 | 1.84 |
| SBO | 2.86 | 3.54 | 2.01 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.80 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .