Úrvalsdeild
·
Full time
·Championship Group - 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
vs
Keflavik
4 – 1 Full time
| 21′ | D. Hafsteinsson | ||
| 29′ | R. Thorkelsson | ||
| 31′ | S. Thordarson | ||
| 47′ | S. Thordarson | ||
| 58′ | M. Al Ghoul | ||
| 62′ | S. HaukssonS. Gudjohnsen | ||
| 62′ | A. FinnbogasonH. Magnusson | ||
| 62′ | A. ThrandarsonV. Andrason | ||
| 70′ | E. BwomonoA. Johannesson | ||
| 70′ | S. LjubicicM. Mudrazija | ||
| 70′ | M. SimicicE. Bjarnason | ||
| 80′ | A. MagnussonE. Karlsson | ||
| 83′ | K. GunnarssonD. Atlason | ||
| 83′ | O. EkrothS. Stefansson | ||
| 83′ | D. ValssonV. A. Traustason |
Vikingur Reykjavik
69%
Draw
17%
Keflavik
14%
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
| Probability | Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | Keflavik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.5% | 24.7% | 28.8% |
| Market | 76.7% | 14.2% | 9.2% |
| Final | 69.1% | 16.8% | 14.1% |
| Edge | -30.1% | +10.6% | +19.6% |
Why Vikingur Reykjavik
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.42.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
Vikingur Reykjavik and Keflavik expected goals
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.84
Keflavik
1.42
Total expected goals: 3.25
Vikingur Reykjavik and Keflavik attack and defence ratings
Vikingur Reykjavik
Attack
1.01 +1%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Keflavik
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik: result vs prediction
Vikingur Reykjavik 4 – 1 Keflavik
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Championship Group - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 69.1% | 1.45 | -30.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 69.1% |
| Draw | 16.8% | |
| Keflavik | 14.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% |
| No | 35.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vikingur Reykjavik win | 26.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 53.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.1% |
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik stats
Vikingur Reykjavik and Keflavik recent form
| Vikingur Reykjavik |
DDLWLW |
| Keflavik |
LLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vikingur Reykjavik and Keflavik going into this match
Vikingur Reykjavik record
- They have won 16 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 13 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Keflavik record
- They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
8Vikingur Reykjavik wins
2Draws
0Keflavik wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Keflavik | Úrvalsdeild | 5-1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Keflavik | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 1-3 |
| 2023-07-08 | Keflavik | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 3-3 |
| 2023-05-04 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Keflavik | Úrvalsdeild | 4-1 |
| 2022-09-11 | Keflavik | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 0-3 |
| 2022-04-28 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Keflavik | Úrvalsdeild | 4-1 |
| 2021-07-19 | Keflavik | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild | 1-2 |
| 2021-05-02 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Keflavik | Úrvalsdeild | 1-0 |
| 2021-03-19 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Keflavik | League Cup | 3-3 |
| 2020-02-23 | Keflavik | Vikingur Reykjavik | League Cup | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 75.8%, draw 14.3%, away 9.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.20 | 6.80 | 10.80 |
| 888Sport | 1.29 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 6.25 | 9.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.13 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.22 | 6.50 | 9.50 |
| Betfair | 1.14 | 6.50 | 11.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.27 | 6.20 | 7.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.19 | 6.80 | 11.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21 | 7.44 | 10.08 |
| SBO | 1.22 | 5.61 | 7.05 |
| Unibet | 1.28 | 5.30 | 6.75 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 6.50 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.20 ▼ -0.07
X
6.50 ▲ +0.47
2
10.00 ▲ +2.50
12 snapshots recorded, from .